Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions

Abstract This study presents a decision‐analytic framework for prioritizing conservation strategies. The framework is based on combining direct and indirect preference‐elicitation methods and analyzing inconsistencies between the methods. A case study with The Nature Conservancy's Chesapeake Ba...

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Main Author: David M. Martin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-08-01
Series:Conservation Science and Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.469
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author David M. Martin
author_facet David M. Martin
author_sort David M. Martin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study presents a decision‐analytic framework for prioritizing conservation strategies. The framework is based on combining direct and indirect preference‐elicitation methods and analyzing inconsistencies between the methods. A case study with The Nature Conservancy's Chesapeake Bay (The United States) agriculture team is presented. Participants evaluated six strategies to engage with agribusinesses, farmers, and farm landowners and increase adoption of nutrient and soil conservation and stream and wetland restoration activities. Impact, feasibility, and risk criteria and performance measures were developed to compare the strategies. Participants individually evaluated the strategies using a multimethod approach. One method included direct ranking based on an intuitive assessment of the strategies. The second method included indirect ranking based on swing weighting and multicriteria analysis. Some participants made adjustments to reduce inconsistencies between the methods. Results show that final rankings were more consistent than initial rankings. Inconsistencies can be reduced by understanding potential bias in the direct method and clarifying assumptions in the indirect method. This study provides evidence that a multimethod approach can deliver useful insights to inform decisions.
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spelling doaj.art-ec7a6cbf606d4cefbd53ff7a4661c7102022-12-21T22:10:09ZengWileyConservation Science and Practice2578-48542021-08-0138n/an/a10.1111/csp2.469Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisionsDavid M. Martin0Maryland/DC Chapter, The Nature Conservancy Bethesda Maryland USAAbstract This study presents a decision‐analytic framework for prioritizing conservation strategies. The framework is based on combining direct and indirect preference‐elicitation methods and analyzing inconsistencies between the methods. A case study with The Nature Conservancy's Chesapeake Bay (The United States) agriculture team is presented. Participants evaluated six strategies to engage with agribusinesses, farmers, and farm landowners and increase adoption of nutrient and soil conservation and stream and wetland restoration activities. Impact, feasibility, and risk criteria and performance measures were developed to compare the strategies. Participants individually evaluated the strategies using a multimethod approach. One method included direct ranking based on an intuitive assessment of the strategies. The second method included indirect ranking based on swing weighting and multicriteria analysis. Some participants made adjustments to reduce inconsistencies between the methods. Results show that final rankings were more consistent than initial rankings. Inconsistencies can be reduced by understanding potential bias in the direct method and clarifying assumptions in the indirect method. This study provides evidence that a multimethod approach can deliver useful insights to inform decisions.https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.469Chesapeake Bayconservationdecision analysiselicitationmulticriteria analysis
spellingShingle David M. Martin
Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
Conservation Science and Practice
Chesapeake Bay
conservation
decision analysis
elicitation
multicriteria analysis
title Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
title_full Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
title_fullStr Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
title_full_unstemmed Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
title_short Navigating inconsistent preferences: A multimethod approach to making informed decisions
title_sort navigating inconsistent preferences a multimethod approach to making informed decisions
topic Chesapeake Bay
conservation
decision analysis
elicitation
multicriteria analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.469
work_keys_str_mv AT davidmmartin navigatinginconsistentpreferencesamultimethodapproachtomakinginformeddecisions