Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate

In December 2014 the Environment Agency published Long Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS) for flood and coastal erosion risk management in England. It sets out the future costs and benefits of managing flood and coastal erosion risk in England in a range of different scenarios. Its major achievement i...

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Main Authors: Steel Michael, Day Jonathan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2016-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160720018
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author Steel Michael
Day Jonathan
author_facet Steel Michael
Day Jonathan
author_sort Steel Michael
collection DOAJ
description In December 2014 the Environment Agency published Long Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS) for flood and coastal erosion risk management in England. It sets out the future costs and benefits of managing flood and coastal erosion risk in England in a range of different scenarios. Its major achievement in long-term risk-based resource allocation is to incorporate a rigorous national economic optimisation based on an aggregation of 3,000 flood defence systems covering the entirety of England’s floodplain. The analysis is based on the Environment Agency’s national assessment of flood risk from rivers and the sea, along with the risk of properties flooding from surface water. The risk information informs an innovative economic model to assess optimal levels of investment both in maintaining and improving the defence infrastructure, and is combined with a high level appraisal of investment in broader risk management activities (such as flood incident management). The headline results describe optimal investment profiles in the short and long term, and compare these with planned investment levels by government and external contributors. The potential to reduce flood risk in the long term is described in the context of the efficiencies required to reduce and hold down costs, the benefits of maintaining control over development in the floodplain, and the effects of climate change. There are constraints in the economic optimisation approach, as well as in the broader, inclusive overview of risk management activities, and the Environment Agency is now seeking a more open, collaborative approach – working with industry and academic partners – to develop LTIS and strengthen it further as robust, independent, world-leading evidence.
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spelling doaj.art-ec9fd38e240c4d78aec8d1cec3ad8a4a2022-12-21T19:39:50ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422016-01-0172001810.1051/e3sconf/20160720018e3sconf_flood2016_20018Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborateSteel Michael0Day Jonathan1Environment AgencyEnvironment AgencyIn December 2014 the Environment Agency published Long Term Investment Scenarios (LTIS) for flood and coastal erosion risk management in England. It sets out the future costs and benefits of managing flood and coastal erosion risk in England in a range of different scenarios. Its major achievement in long-term risk-based resource allocation is to incorporate a rigorous national economic optimisation based on an aggregation of 3,000 flood defence systems covering the entirety of England’s floodplain. The analysis is based on the Environment Agency’s national assessment of flood risk from rivers and the sea, along with the risk of properties flooding from surface water. The risk information informs an innovative economic model to assess optimal levels of investment both in maintaining and improving the defence infrastructure, and is combined with a high level appraisal of investment in broader risk management activities (such as flood incident management). The headline results describe optimal investment profiles in the short and long term, and compare these with planned investment levels by government and external contributors. The potential to reduce flood risk in the long term is described in the context of the efficiencies required to reduce and hold down costs, the benefits of maintaining control over development in the floodplain, and the effects of climate change. There are constraints in the economic optimisation approach, as well as in the broader, inclusive overview of risk management activities, and the Environment Agency is now seeking a more open, collaborative approach – working with industry and academic partners – to develop LTIS and strengthen it further as robust, independent, world-leading evidence.http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160720018
spellingShingle Steel Michael
Day Jonathan
Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
E3S Web of Conferences
title Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
title_full Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
title_fullStr Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
title_full_unstemmed Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
title_short Long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
title_sort long term investment scenarios and an opportunity to collaborate
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160720018
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AT dayjonathan longterminvestmentscenariosandanopportunitytocollaborate