A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes

Abstract Background The rate of caesarean sections (CS) has increased in the last decades to about 30% of births in high income countries. Many CSs are electively planned without an urgent medical reason for mother or child. An early CS though may harm the newborn. Our aim was to evaluate the gestat...

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Main Authors: Barbara Prediger, Tim Mathes, Stephanie Polus, Angelina Glatt, Stefanie Bühn, Sven Schiermeier, Edmund A. M. Neugebauer, Dawid Pieper
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-07-01
Series:BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12884-020-03036-1
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author Barbara Prediger
Tim Mathes
Stephanie Polus
Angelina Glatt
Stefanie Bühn
Sven Schiermeier
Edmund A. M. Neugebauer
Dawid Pieper
author_facet Barbara Prediger
Tim Mathes
Stephanie Polus
Angelina Glatt
Stefanie Bühn
Sven Schiermeier
Edmund A. M. Neugebauer
Dawid Pieper
author_sort Barbara Prediger
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The rate of caesarean sections (CS) has increased in the last decades to about 30% of births in high income countries. Many CSs are electively planned without an urgent medical reason for mother or child. An early CS though may harm the newborn. Our aim was to evaluate the gestational time point after the 37 + 0 week of gestation (WG) (after prematurity = term) of performing an elective CS with the lowest morbidity for mother and child by assessing the time course from 37 + 0 to 42+ 6 WG. Methods We performed a systematic literature search in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and CINAHL in November 2018. We included studies that compared different time points of elective CS at term no matter the reason for elective CS. Our primary outcomes were the rate of admissions to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), neonatal death and maternal death in early versus late term elective CS. Various binary and dose response random effects meta-analyses were performed. Results We identified 35 studies including 982,749 women. Except one randomised controlled trial, all studies were cohort studies. We performed a linear time-response meta-analysis on the primary outcome NICU admission on 14 studies resulting in a decrease of the relative risk (RR) to 0.63 (95% CI 0.56, 0.71) from 37 + 0 to 39 + 6 WG. RR for neonatal death showed a decrease to 39 + (0–6) WG (RR 0.59 95% CI 0.43 to 0.83) and increase from then on (RR 2.09 95% CI 1.18 to 3.70) assuming a U-shape course and using a cubic spline model for meta-analysis of four studies. We only identified one study analyzing maternal death resulting in RR of 0.38 (95% CI 0.04 to 3.40) for 37 + 0 + 38 + 6 WG versus ≥39 + 0 WG. Conclusion Our systematic review showed that elective CS (primary and repeated) before the 39 + 0 WG lead to more NICU admissions and neonatal deaths, although death is rare and increases again after 39 + 6 WG. We did not find enough evidence on maternal outcomes. There is a need for more research, considering maternal outcomes to provide a balanced decision between neonatal and maternal health. Systematic review registration Registered in PROSPERO (CRD42017078231).
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spelling doaj.art-ecc97f22e33c45b2b2e260c4bb2f5ecf2022-12-22T01:41:05ZengBMCBMC Pregnancy and Childbirth1471-23932020-07-0120111810.1186/s12884-020-03036-1A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomesBarbara Prediger0Tim Mathes1Stephanie Polus2Angelina Glatt3Stefanie Bühn4Sven Schiermeier5Edmund A. M. Neugebauer6Dawid Pieper7Institute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityInstitute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityInstitute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityInstitute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityInstitute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Witten/Herdecke University, Marien Hospital WittenBrandenburg Medical School - Theodor Fontane, Faculty of Health, Campus NeuruppinInstitute for Research in Operative Medicine, Witten/Herdecke UniversityAbstract Background The rate of caesarean sections (CS) has increased in the last decades to about 30% of births in high income countries. Many CSs are electively planned without an urgent medical reason for mother or child. An early CS though may harm the newborn. Our aim was to evaluate the gestational time point after the 37 + 0 week of gestation (WG) (after prematurity = term) of performing an elective CS with the lowest morbidity for mother and child by assessing the time course from 37 + 0 to 42+ 6 WG. Methods We performed a systematic literature search in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL and CINAHL in November 2018. We included studies that compared different time points of elective CS at term no matter the reason for elective CS. Our primary outcomes were the rate of admissions to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), neonatal death and maternal death in early versus late term elective CS. Various binary and dose response random effects meta-analyses were performed. Results We identified 35 studies including 982,749 women. Except one randomised controlled trial, all studies were cohort studies. We performed a linear time-response meta-analysis on the primary outcome NICU admission on 14 studies resulting in a decrease of the relative risk (RR) to 0.63 (95% CI 0.56, 0.71) from 37 + 0 to 39 + 6 WG. RR for neonatal death showed a decrease to 39 + (0–6) WG (RR 0.59 95% CI 0.43 to 0.83) and increase from then on (RR 2.09 95% CI 1.18 to 3.70) assuming a U-shape course and using a cubic spline model for meta-analysis of four studies. We only identified one study analyzing maternal death resulting in RR of 0.38 (95% CI 0.04 to 3.40) for 37 + 0 + 38 + 6 WG versus ≥39 + 0 WG. Conclusion Our systematic review showed that elective CS (primary and repeated) before the 39 + 0 WG lead to more NICU admissions and neonatal deaths, although death is rare and increases again after 39 + 6 WG. We did not find enough evidence on maternal outcomes. There is a need for more research, considering maternal outcomes to provide a balanced decision between neonatal and maternal health. Systematic review registration Registered in PROSPERO (CRD42017078231).http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12884-020-03036-1Elective caesarean sectionTerm birthNeonatal intensive care unitNeonatal morbidityMaternal morbidityGestational age
spellingShingle Barbara Prediger
Tim Mathes
Stephanie Polus
Angelina Glatt
Stefanie Bühn
Sven Schiermeier
Edmund A. M. Neugebauer
Dawid Pieper
A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Elective caesarean section
Term birth
Neonatal intensive care unit
Neonatal morbidity
Maternal morbidity
Gestational age
title A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
title_full A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
title_fullStr A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
title_full_unstemmed A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
title_short A systematic review and time-response meta-analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
title_sort systematic review and time response meta analysis of the optimal timing of elective caesarean sections for best maternal and neonatal health outcomes
topic Elective caesarean section
Term birth
Neonatal intensive care unit
Neonatal morbidity
Maternal morbidity
Gestational age
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12884-020-03036-1
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