Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes

<p>Wind-wave forecasts play a crucial role in the North American Great Lakes region towards ensuring the safety of communities, enhancement of the economy, and protection of property. Modeling wind waves in closed and relatively shallow basins with complex bathymetry like the Great Lakes is a...

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Main Authors: A. Abdolali, S. Banihashemi, J. H. Alves, A. Roland, T. J. Hesser, M. Anderson Bryant, J. McKee Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2024-02-01
Series:Geoscientific Model Development
Online Access:https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1023/2024/gmd-17-1023-2024.pdf
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author A. Abdolali
A. Abdolali
S. Banihashemi
S. Banihashemi
J. H. Alves
A. Roland
T. J. Hesser
M. Anderson Bryant
J. McKee Smith
author_facet A. Abdolali
A. Abdolali
S. Banihashemi
S. Banihashemi
J. H. Alves
A. Roland
T. J. Hesser
M. Anderson Bryant
J. McKee Smith
author_sort A. Abdolali
collection DOAJ
description <p>Wind-wave forecasts play a crucial role in the North American Great Lakes region towards ensuring the safety of communities, enhancement of the economy, and protection of property. Modeling wind waves in closed and relatively shallow basins with complex bathymetry like the Great Lakes is a challenge that is successfully tackled in part by using variable-resolution triangular unstructured meshes with no limits in terms of computational scalability and maximum resolution in the coastal areas. In this paper, we discuss recent advances in developing unstructured mesh capabilities as part of the spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III, in the context of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) operational requirements such as model robustness, efficiency, and accuracy. We revisit the history of developments leading to the transition from rectilinear to curvilinear grids and finally to an unstructured mesh version of NOAA's operational Great Lakes wave modeling system (GLWUv2.0). The article describes the development of the operational GLWUv2.0, from mesh design and scalability analysis to validation and verification for hindcast of storm cases and re-forecast using 4 months of retrospective simulations. In closed Great Lakes basins untouched by swell from distant sources, the atmospheric model's direct impact on wave behavior stands apart, showing reduced forecast accuracy over time, while maintaining consistent precision in accurately wind-hindcasted stormy conditions.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-eccc4c24d862477c9b74e251ab993f552024-02-07T09:23:09ZengCopernicus PublicationsGeoscientific Model Development1991-959X1991-96032024-02-01171023103910.5194/gmd-17-1023-2024Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshesA. Abdolali0A. Abdolali1S. Banihashemi2S. Banihashemi3J. H. Alves4A. Roland5T. J. Hesser6M. Anderson Bryant7J. McKee Smith8US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, USAEarth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), College Park, MD, USANWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), College Park, MD, USALynker, Leesburg, VA, USAEarth Prediction Innovation Center, NOAA/Oceanic and Atmospheric Research/Weather Program Office, Silver Spring, MD, USABGS IT & E, Darmstadt, GermanyUS Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, USAUS Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, USAUS Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, USA<p>Wind-wave forecasts play a crucial role in the North American Great Lakes region towards ensuring the safety of communities, enhancement of the economy, and protection of property. Modeling wind waves in closed and relatively shallow basins with complex bathymetry like the Great Lakes is a challenge that is successfully tackled in part by using variable-resolution triangular unstructured meshes with no limits in terms of computational scalability and maximum resolution in the coastal areas. In this paper, we discuss recent advances in developing unstructured mesh capabilities as part of the spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III, in the context of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) operational requirements such as model robustness, efficiency, and accuracy. We revisit the history of developments leading to the transition from rectilinear to curvilinear grids and finally to an unstructured mesh version of NOAA's operational Great Lakes wave modeling system (GLWUv2.0). The article describes the development of the operational GLWUv2.0, from mesh design and scalability analysis to validation and verification for hindcast of storm cases and re-forecast using 4 months of retrospective simulations. In closed Great Lakes basins untouched by swell from distant sources, the atmospheric model's direct impact on wave behavior stands apart, showing reduced forecast accuracy over time, while maintaining consistent precision in accurately wind-hindcasted stormy conditions.</p>https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1023/2024/gmd-17-1023-2024.pdf
spellingShingle A. Abdolali
A. Abdolali
S. Banihashemi
S. Banihashemi
J. H. Alves
A. Roland
T. J. Hesser
M. Anderson Bryant
J. McKee Smith
Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
Geoscientific Model Development
title Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
title_full Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
title_fullStr Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
title_full_unstemmed Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
title_short Great Lakes wave forecast system on high-resolution unstructured meshes
title_sort great lakes wave forecast system on high resolution unstructured meshes
url https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1023/2024/gmd-17-1023-2024.pdf
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