Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection

Patient-specific modelling of haemodynamics in arterial networks has so far relied on parameter estimation for inexpensive or small-scale models. We describe here a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework which makes two major advances: an efficient parallel implementation, allowing parameter...

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Main Authors: Karen Larson, Clark Bowman, Costas Papadimitriou, Petros Koumoutsakos, Anastasios Matzavinos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2019-10-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.182229
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author Karen Larson
Clark Bowman
Costas Papadimitriou
Petros Koumoutsakos
Anastasios Matzavinos
author_facet Karen Larson
Clark Bowman
Costas Papadimitriou
Petros Koumoutsakos
Anastasios Matzavinos
author_sort Karen Larson
collection DOAJ
description Patient-specific modelling of haemodynamics in arterial networks has so far relied on parameter estimation for inexpensive or small-scale models. We describe here a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework which makes two major advances: an efficient parallel implementation, allowing parameter estimation for more complex forward models, and a system for practical model selection, allowing evidence-based comparison between distinct physical models. We demonstrate the proposed methodology by generating simulated noisy flow velocity data from a branching arterial tree model in which a structural defect is introduced at an unknown location; our approach is shown to accurately locate the abnormality and estimate its physical properties even in the presence of significant observational and systemic error. As the method readily admits real data, it shows great potential in patient-specific parameter fitting for haemodynamical flow models.
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spelling doaj.art-ecd70939e52e44f1887ae9738a7945ae2022-12-22T01:21:00ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032019-10-0161010.1098/rsos.182229182229Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selectionKaren LarsonClark BowmanCostas PapadimitriouPetros KoumoutsakosAnastasios MatzavinosPatient-specific modelling of haemodynamics in arterial networks has so far relied on parameter estimation for inexpensive or small-scale models. We describe here a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework which makes two major advances: an efficient parallel implementation, allowing parameter estimation for more complex forward models, and a system for practical model selection, allowing evidence-based comparison between distinct physical models. We demonstrate the proposed methodology by generating simulated noisy flow velocity data from a branching arterial tree model in which a structural defect is introduced at an unknown location; our approach is shown to accurately locate the abnormality and estimate its physical properties even in the presence of significant observational and systemic error. As the method readily admits real data, it shows great potential in patient-specific parameter fitting for haemodynamical flow models.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.182229uncertainty quantificationtransitional markov chain monte carloinverse problemone-dimensional blood flowmodel selection
spellingShingle Karen Larson
Clark Bowman
Costas Papadimitriou
Petros Koumoutsakos
Anastasios Matzavinos
Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
Royal Society Open Science
uncertainty quantification
transitional markov chain monte carlo
inverse problem
one-dimensional blood flow
model selection
title Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
title_full Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
title_fullStr Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
title_full_unstemmed Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
title_short Detection of arterial wall abnormalities via Bayesian model selection
title_sort detection of arterial wall abnormalities via bayesian model selection
topic uncertainty quantification
transitional markov chain monte carlo
inverse problem
one-dimensional blood flow
model selection
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.182229
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