Weather Risk Management in Agriculture

The paper focuses on valuation of a weather derivative with payoffs depending on temperature. We use historical data from the weather station in the Slovak town Košice to obtain unique prices of option contracts in an incomplete market. Numerical examples of prices of some contracts are presented, u...

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Main Author: Martina Bobriková
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mendel University Press 2016-01-01
Series:Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acta.mendelu.cz/64/4/1303/
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author Martina Bobriková
author_facet Martina Bobriková
author_sort Martina Bobriková
collection DOAJ
description The paper focuses on valuation of a weather derivative with payoffs depending on temperature. We use historical data from the weather station in the Slovak town Košice to obtain unique prices of option contracts in an incomplete market. Numerical examples of prices of some contracts are presented, using the Burn analysis. We provide an example of how a weather contract can be designed to hedge the financial risk of a suboptimal temperature condition. The comparative comparison of the selected option hedging strategies has shown the best results for the producers in agricultural industries who hedges against an unfavourable weather conditions. The results of analysis proved that by buying put option or call option, the farmer establishes the highest payoff in the case of temperature decrease or increase. The Long Straddle Strategy is the most expensive but is available to the farmer who hedges against a high volatility in temperature movement. We conclude with the findings that weather derivatives could be useful tools to diminish the financial losses for agricultural industries highly dependent for temperature.
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spelling doaj.art-ed0c6a6a650145709b0b9a945af4370b2022-12-22T02:28:40ZengMendel University PressActa Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis1211-85162464-83102016-01-016441303130910.11118/actaun201664041303Weather Risk Management in AgricultureMartina Bobriková0Department of Finance, Faculty of Economics, Technical University of Košice, B. Nemcovej 32, 040 01 Košice, Slovak RepublicThe paper focuses on valuation of a weather derivative with payoffs depending on temperature. We use historical data from the weather station in the Slovak town Košice to obtain unique prices of option contracts in an incomplete market. Numerical examples of prices of some contracts are presented, using the Burn analysis. We provide an example of how a weather contract can be designed to hedge the financial risk of a suboptimal temperature condition. The comparative comparison of the selected option hedging strategies has shown the best results for the producers in agricultural industries who hedges against an unfavourable weather conditions. The results of analysis proved that by buying put option or call option, the farmer establishes the highest payoff in the case of temperature decrease or increase. The Long Straddle Strategy is the most expensive but is available to the farmer who hedges against a high volatility in temperature movement. We conclude with the findings that weather derivatives could be useful tools to diminish the financial losses for agricultural industries highly dependent for temperature.https://acta.mendelu.cz/64/4/1303/weather derivativeoption contracttemperatureBurn analysishedging
spellingShingle Martina Bobriková
Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
weather derivative
option contract
temperature
Burn analysis
hedging
title Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
title_full Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
title_fullStr Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
title_full_unstemmed Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
title_short Weather Risk Management in Agriculture
title_sort weather risk management in agriculture
topic weather derivative
option contract
temperature
Burn analysis
hedging
url https://acta.mendelu.cz/64/4/1303/
work_keys_str_mv AT martinabobrikova weatherriskmanagementinagriculture