Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence

Drought is increasing in frequency and severity, exacerbating food and water security risks in an era of continued global warming and human population growth. Here, we analyzed a severe summer drought affecting the US Northern Plains region in 2017. We examined the spatial pattern and seasonal progr...

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Main Authors: Mingzhu He, John S Kimball, Yonghong Yi, Steve Running, Kaiyu Guan, Kelsey Jensco, Bruce Maxwell, Marco Maneta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2019-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c3
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author Mingzhu He
John S Kimball
Yonghong Yi
Steve Running
Kaiyu Guan
Kelsey Jensco
Bruce Maxwell
Marco Maneta
author_facet Mingzhu He
John S Kimball
Yonghong Yi
Steve Running
Kaiyu Guan
Kelsey Jensco
Bruce Maxwell
Marco Maneta
author_sort Mingzhu He
collection DOAJ
description Drought is increasing in frequency and severity, exacerbating food and water security risks in an era of continued global warming and human population growth. Here, we analyzed a severe summer drought affecting the US Northern Plains region in 2017. We examined the spatial pattern and seasonal progression of vegetation productivity and water use in the region using satellite-based estimates of field-scale (30 m) cropland evapotranspiration (ET), county level annual crop production statistics, and GOME-2 satellite observations of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF). The cropland ET record shows strong potential to track seasonal cropland water demands spatially, with strong correspondence to regional climate variables in the Northern Plains. The GOME-2 SIF record shows significant but limited correlations with finer scale climate variability due to the coarse sensor footprint, but captured an anomalous regional productivity decline coincident with drought related decreases in crop production and ET. The drought contributed to an overall 25% reduction in cropland ET, 6% decrease in crop production, and 11% reduction in SIF productivity over the region from April to September in 2017 relative to the longer (2008–2017) satellite record. More severely impacted agricultural areas indicated by the US Drought Monitor exceptional drought (D4) category represented 11% of the region and showed much larger anomalous ET (20%–81%) and productivity (11%–73%) declines. The regional pattern of drought impacts indicated more severe productivity and ET reductions in the north central and southern counties with extensive agriculture, and less impact in the western counties of the Northern Plains. This study provides a multiscale assessment of drought related impacts on regional productivity and ET over a crop intensive region, emphasizing the use of global satellite observations capable of informing regional to global scale water and food security assessments.
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spelling doaj.art-ed0e9f75f41a464ca462073b73e92ead2024-01-16T13:35:24ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262019-01-0114707401910.1088/1748-9326/ab22c3Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescenceMingzhu He0John S Kimball1Yonghong Yi2Steve Running3Kaiyu Guan4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3499-6382Kelsey Jensco5Bruce Maxwell6Marco Maneta7Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group, W.A. Franke College of Forestry & Conservation, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of AmericaNumerical Terradynamic Simulation Group, W.A. Franke College of Forestry & Conservation, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of America; Department of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences, W.A. Franke College of Forestry & Conservation, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of AmericaJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, United States of AmericaNumerical Terradynamic Simulation Group, W.A. Franke College of Forestry & Conservation, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of AmericaDepartment of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign , Urbana, IL 61820, United States of AmericaDepartment of Forest Management, College of Forestry & Conservation, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of AmericaDepartment of Land Resources and Environmental Science, Montana State University , Bozeman, MT 59717, United States of AmericaDepartment of Geosciences, University of Montana , Missoula, MT 59812, United States of AmericaDrought is increasing in frequency and severity, exacerbating food and water security risks in an era of continued global warming and human population growth. Here, we analyzed a severe summer drought affecting the US Northern Plains region in 2017. We examined the spatial pattern and seasonal progression of vegetation productivity and water use in the region using satellite-based estimates of field-scale (30 m) cropland evapotranspiration (ET), county level annual crop production statistics, and GOME-2 satellite observations of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF). The cropland ET record shows strong potential to track seasonal cropland water demands spatially, with strong correspondence to regional climate variables in the Northern Plains. The GOME-2 SIF record shows significant but limited correlations with finer scale climate variability due to the coarse sensor footprint, but captured an anomalous regional productivity decline coincident with drought related decreases in crop production and ET. The drought contributed to an overall 25% reduction in cropland ET, 6% decrease in crop production, and 11% reduction in SIF productivity over the region from April to September in 2017 relative to the longer (2008–2017) satellite record. More severely impacted agricultural areas indicated by the US Drought Monitor exceptional drought (D4) category represented 11% of the region and showed much larger anomalous ET (20%–81%) and productivity (11%–73%) declines. The regional pattern of drought impacts indicated more severe productivity and ET reductions in the north central and southern counties with extensive agriculture, and less impact in the western counties of the Northern Plains. This study provides a multiscale assessment of drought related impacts on regional productivity and ET over a crop intensive region, emphasizing the use of global satellite observations capable of informing regional to global scale water and food security assessments.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c3droughtcroplandevapotranspirationsolar-induced fluorescencecrop production
spellingShingle Mingzhu He
John S Kimball
Yonghong Yi
Steve Running
Kaiyu Guan
Kelsey Jensco
Bruce Maxwell
Marco Maneta
Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
Environmental Research Letters
drought
cropland
evapotranspiration
solar-induced fluorescence
crop production
title Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
title_full Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
title_fullStr Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
title_short Impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the US Northern plains informed by satellite-based evapotranspiration and solar-induced fluorescence
title_sort impacts of the 2017 flash drought in the us northern plains informed by satellite based evapotranspiration and solar induced fluorescence
topic drought
cropland
evapotranspiration
solar-induced fluorescence
crop production
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c3
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