Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States

Anthropogenic changes are likely to intensify rainfall extremes, posing a risk to human, environmental and urban systems. Understanding the impact of urbanization on rainfall extremes is critical for both reliable climate projections as well as sustainable urban development. This study presents the...

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Main Authors: Jitendra Singh, Subhankar Karmakar, Debasish PaiMazumder, Subimal Ghosh, Dev Niyogi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8980
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author Jitendra Singh
Subhankar Karmakar
Debasish PaiMazumder
Subimal Ghosh
Dev Niyogi
author_facet Jitendra Singh
Subhankar Karmakar
Debasish PaiMazumder
Subimal Ghosh
Dev Niyogi
author_sort Jitendra Singh
collection DOAJ
description Anthropogenic changes are likely to intensify rainfall extremes, posing a risk to human, environmental and urban systems. Understanding the impact of urbanization on rainfall extremes is critical for both reliable climate projections as well as sustainable urban development. This study presents the unexplored impacts of changes arising in urban areas on rainfall extremes over the Contiguous United States. The results show a 2.7-fold higher probability of exceeding a 25% change in 50 year rainfall events over urban areas than over rural areas. Spatially, the changes in rainfall extremes over the central, northeast central, southeast, and northwest central zones were more pronounced due to urbanization. Statistical analyses highlight a positive relationship between changes in rainfall extremes and urbanization within a set of concentric ring buffers around rain gauge stations. Here, we show that urbanization, even though a local feature, influences the mesoscale meteorological setting; and, is statistically associated with an intensification of rainfall extremes across the Contiguous United States.
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spelling doaj.art-ed19698de50a4942bd8fa78b82c9bf9f2023-08-09T15:07:28ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115707403310.1088/1748-9326/ab8980Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United StatesJitendra Singh0Subhankar Karmakar1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1132-1403Debasish PaiMazumder2Subimal Ghosh3Dev Niyogi4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1848-5080Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay , Mumbai 400 076, India; School of the Environment, Washinghton State University , Vancouver, WA, USAEnvironmental Science and Engineering Department, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay , Mumbai 400 076, India; Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay , Mumbai 400 076, IndiaAmerican International Group, Cat, Management & Analytics Center of Excellence , Philadelphia, PA, United State of AmericaInterdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay , Mumbai 400 076, India; Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay , Mumbai 400 076, IndiaPurdue University , West Lafayette, IN 47907, United States of America; University of Texas at Austin , Austin, TX 78712, United States of AmericaAnthropogenic changes are likely to intensify rainfall extremes, posing a risk to human, environmental and urban systems. Understanding the impact of urbanization on rainfall extremes is critical for both reliable climate projections as well as sustainable urban development. This study presents the unexplored impacts of changes arising in urban areas on rainfall extremes over the Contiguous United States. The results show a 2.7-fold higher probability of exceeding a 25% change in 50 year rainfall events over urban areas than over rural areas. Spatially, the changes in rainfall extremes over the central, northeast central, southeast, and northwest central zones were more pronounced due to urbanization. Statistical analyses highlight a positive relationship between changes in rainfall extremes and urbanization within a set of concentric ring buffers around rain gauge stations. Here, we show that urbanization, even though a local feature, influences the mesoscale meteorological setting; and, is statistically associated with an intensification of rainfall extremes across the Contiguous United States.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8980extremesurbanizationnonstationaryrainfall
spellingShingle Jitendra Singh
Subhankar Karmakar
Debasish PaiMazumder
Subimal Ghosh
Dev Niyogi
Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
Environmental Research Letters
extremes
urbanization
nonstationary
rainfall
title Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
title_full Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
title_fullStr Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
title_full_unstemmed Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
title_short Urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous United States
title_sort urbanization alters rainfall extremes over the contiguous united states
topic extremes
urbanization
nonstationary
rainfall
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8980
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AT debasishpaimazumder urbanizationaltersrainfallextremesoverthecontiguousunitedstates
AT subimalghosh urbanizationaltersrainfallextremesoverthecontiguousunitedstates
AT devniyogi urbanizationaltersrainfallextremesoverthecontiguousunitedstates