Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction

In Korea, because of the high interest in stock investment, many researchers have attempted to predict stock prices using deep learning. Studies to predict stock prices have been continuously conducted. However, the type of stock data that is suitable for deep learning has not been established, and...

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Main Authors: Yoojeong Song, Jongwoo Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-02-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1597
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author Yoojeong Song
Jongwoo Lee
author_facet Yoojeong Song
Jongwoo Lee
author_sort Yoojeong Song
collection DOAJ
description In Korea, because of the high interest in stock investment, many researchers have attempted to predict stock prices using deep learning. Studies to predict stock prices have been continuously conducted. However, the type of stock data that is suitable for deep learning has not been established, and it has not been confirmed that the developed stock prediction model can actually result in a profit. To date, designing a good deep learning model depends on how well the user can extract the features that represent all the characteristics of the training data. Among the various available features for training and test data, we determined that the use of event binary features can make stock price prediction models perform better. An event binary feature refers to a 0 or 1 value describing whether an indicator is satisfied (1) or not (0) for any given day and stock. We proposed and compared a stock price prediction model with three different feature combinations to verify the importance of binary features. As a result, we derived a prediction model that defeated the market (KOSPI and KODAQ (KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) and KOSDAQ (Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations) is Korean stock indices)). The results suggest that deep learning is suitable for stock price prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-ed4835895c504c0bbfd7fe56e58d3a512022-12-22T03:16:08ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-02-01105159710.3390/app10051597app10051597Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price PredictionYoojeong Song0Jongwoo Lee1Department of IT Engineering, Sookmyung Women’s University, Cheongpa-ro 47-gil 100, Yongsan-gu, Seoul 140-742, KoreaDepartment of IT Engineering, Sookmyung Women’s University, Cheongpa-ro 47-gil 100, Yongsan-gu, Seoul 140-742, KoreaIn Korea, because of the high interest in stock investment, many researchers have attempted to predict stock prices using deep learning. Studies to predict stock prices have been continuously conducted. However, the type of stock data that is suitable for deep learning has not been established, and it has not been confirmed that the developed stock prediction model can actually result in a profit. To date, designing a good deep learning model depends on how well the user can extract the features that represent all the characteristics of the training data. Among the various available features for training and test data, we determined that the use of event binary features can make stock price prediction models perform better. An event binary feature refers to a 0 or 1 value describing whether an indicator is satisfied (1) or not (0) for any given day and stock. We proposed and compared a stock price prediction model with three different feature combinations to verify the importance of binary features. As a result, we derived a prediction model that defeated the market (KOSPI and KODAQ (KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) and KOSDAQ (Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations) is Korean stock indices)). The results suggest that deep learning is suitable for stock price prediction.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1597deep learningstock price predictionnovel input featuresevent binary featurestechnical analysis
spellingShingle Yoojeong Song
Jongwoo Lee
Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
Applied Sciences
deep learning
stock price prediction
novel input features
event binary features
technical analysis
title Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
title_full Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
title_fullStr Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
title_short Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction
title_sort importance of event binary features in stock price prediction
topic deep learning
stock price prediction
novel input features
event binary features
technical analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1597
work_keys_str_mv AT yoojeongsong importanceofeventbinaryfeaturesinstockpriceprediction
AT jongwoolee importanceofeventbinaryfeaturesinstockpriceprediction