Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios

Combined cooling, heating, and power systems are widely studied and designed to enhance their techno-economic performance for reducing the cost and emission. However, the optimization often neglects the prospective variations in the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity i...

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Main Authors: Yuan Zhao, Miaoxun Zhou, Zhiwei Yue, Tao Tan, Menglian Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722022491
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author Yuan Zhao
Miaoxun Zhou
Zhiwei Yue
Tao Tan
Menglian Zheng
author_facet Yuan Zhao
Miaoxun Zhou
Zhiwei Yue
Tao Tan
Menglian Zheng
author_sort Yuan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Combined cooling, heating, and power systems are widely studied and designed to enhance their techno-economic performance for reducing the cost and emission. However, the optimization often neglects the prospective variations in the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity in the future. The present study focuses on the comparisons among the optimization results under multi-scenarios, which are business-as-usual, sustainable development, projected, optimistic-natural-gas-price, and optimistic-grid-electricity-emission-factor scenarios. The multi-objective optimization is conducted based on the NSGA II method along with the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution method. The simulation results show the opposite effects of the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity on the sizing results of the combined cooling, heating, and power system. Recognizing that the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity decline simultaneously under the investigated business-as-usual, the sustainable development, and the projected scenarios, the optimized capacities of the key devices do not show significant variations. Nevertheless, the resulting annualized total costs and equivalent CO2 emissions are significantly reduced under the these scenarios.
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spelling doaj.art-ed9976394e2140669c1ffaf966a3d5be2023-01-16T04:08:45ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-018952958Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenariosYuan Zhao0Miaoxun Zhou1Zhiwei Yue2Tao Tan3Menglian Zheng4Powerchina HuaDong Engineering Corporation Limited, Hangzhou, 311122, ChinaPowerchina HuaDong Engineering Corporation Limited, Hangzhou, 311122, ChinaPowerchina HuaDong Engineering Corporation Limited, Hangzhou, 311122, ChinaInstitute of Thermal Science and Power Systems, College of Energy Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027, ChinaInstitute of Thermal Science and Power Systems, College of Energy Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027, China; Corresponding author.Combined cooling, heating, and power systems are widely studied and designed to enhance their techno-economic performance for reducing the cost and emission. However, the optimization often neglects the prospective variations in the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity in the future. The present study focuses on the comparisons among the optimization results under multi-scenarios, which are business-as-usual, sustainable development, projected, optimistic-natural-gas-price, and optimistic-grid-electricity-emission-factor scenarios. The multi-objective optimization is conducted based on the NSGA II method along with the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution method. The simulation results show the opposite effects of the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity on the sizing results of the combined cooling, heating, and power system. Recognizing that the natural gas price and the emission factor of the grid electricity decline simultaneously under the investigated business-as-usual, the sustainable development, and the projected scenarios, the optimized capacities of the key devices do not show significant variations. Nevertheless, the resulting annualized total costs and equivalent CO2 emissions are significantly reduced under the these scenarios.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722022491CCHPMulti-scenariosMulti-objective optimizationTechno-economic analysisNSGA-II
spellingShingle Yuan Zhao
Miaoxun Zhou
Zhiwei Yue
Tao Tan
Menglian Zheng
Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
Energy Reports
CCHP
Multi-scenarios
Multi-objective optimization
Techno-economic analysis
NSGA-II
title Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
title_full Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
title_fullStr Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
title_short Prospective optimization of CCHP system under multi-scenarios
title_sort prospective optimization of cchp system under multi scenarios
topic CCHP
Multi-scenarios
Multi-objective optimization
Techno-economic analysis
NSGA-II
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722022491
work_keys_str_mv AT yuanzhao prospectiveoptimizationofcchpsystemundermultiscenarios
AT miaoxunzhou prospectiveoptimizationofcchpsystemundermultiscenarios
AT zhiweiyue prospectiveoptimizationofcchpsystemundermultiscenarios
AT taotan prospectiveoptimizationofcchpsystemundermultiscenarios
AT menglianzheng prospectiveoptimizationofcchpsystemundermultiscenarios