Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?

Nine proxies of temperature over the last 225–300 years in Southern Fennoscandia (55–63° N) were analyzed. Seven reconstructions of the mean growing season temperatures were obtained by dendroclimatological methods. Reconstructions of spring temperatures in Stockholm and winter temperatures in Talli...

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Main Author: Maxim Ogurtsov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-05-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/676
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author Maxim Ogurtsov
author_facet Maxim Ogurtsov
author_sort Maxim Ogurtsov
collection DOAJ
description Nine proxies of temperature over the last 225–300 years in Southern Fennoscandia (55–63° N) were analyzed. Seven reconstructions of the mean growing season temperatures were obtained by dendroclimatological methods. Reconstructions of spring temperatures in Stockholm and winter temperatures in Tallinn were based on historical documentary sources. It was found that significant decadal (10–13 years) and bi-decadal (22–25 years) periodicities were present in many of these series during the entire time interval. Four proxy records correlated significantly with the quasi 22-year solar cycle of Hale. Three time series correlated significantly with the quasi 11-year solar cycle of Schwabe. This can be considered as evidence of a link between decadal and bi-decadal changes in solar activity and climate in Southern Fennoscandia. On the other hand, signs of correlation differed, as well as the time shift between the solar and temperature cycles. It is difficult to explain such an intricate relationship and, thus, the physical mechanism of solar−climatic linkages remains unclear. That is why assumptions about the purely occasional appearance of correlations cannot yet be rejected. Guidelines for further research are suggested.
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spelling doaj.art-edb4df5688554994956839e328fd27682023-11-21T21:18:48ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-05-0112667610.3390/atmos12060676Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?Maxim Ogurtsov0Ioffe Physico-Technical Institute, 194021 St. Petersburg, RussiaNine proxies of temperature over the last 225–300 years in Southern Fennoscandia (55–63° N) were analyzed. Seven reconstructions of the mean growing season temperatures were obtained by dendroclimatological methods. Reconstructions of spring temperatures in Stockholm and winter temperatures in Tallinn were based on historical documentary sources. It was found that significant decadal (10–13 years) and bi-decadal (22–25 years) periodicities were present in many of these series during the entire time interval. Four proxy records correlated significantly with the quasi 22-year solar cycle of Hale. Three time series correlated significantly with the quasi 11-year solar cycle of Schwabe. This can be considered as evidence of a link between decadal and bi-decadal changes in solar activity and climate in Southern Fennoscandia. On the other hand, signs of correlation differed, as well as the time shift between the solar and temperature cycles. It is difficult to explain such an intricate relationship and, thus, the physical mechanism of solar−climatic linkages remains unclear. That is why assumptions about the purely occasional appearance of correlations cannot yet be rejected. Guidelines for further research are suggested.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/676solar activityclimatepaleoclimatology
spellingShingle Maxim Ogurtsov
Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
Atmosphere
solar activity
climate
paleoclimatology
title Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
title_full Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
title_fullStr Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
title_full_unstemmed Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
title_short Decadal and Bi-Decadal Periodicities in Temperature of Southern Scandinavia: Manifestations of Natural Variability or Climatic Response to Solar Cycles?
title_sort decadal and bi decadal periodicities in temperature of southern scandinavia manifestations of natural variability or climatic response to solar cycles
topic solar activity
climate
paleoclimatology
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/676
work_keys_str_mv AT maximogurtsov decadalandbidecadalperiodicitiesintemperatureofsouthernscandinaviamanifestationsofnaturalvariabilityorclimaticresponsetosolarcycles