Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak

Many research studies have been carried out to understand the epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic in its early phase. The current study is yet another contribution to better understand the disease properties by parameter estimation based on mathematical SIR epidemic modeling. Th...

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Main Authors: Shirali Kadyrov, Alibek Orynbassar, Hayot Berk Saydaliev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: ITB Journal Publisher 2021-12-01
Series:Journal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/jmfs/article/view/13573
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author Shirali Kadyrov
Alibek Orynbassar
Hayot Berk Saydaliev
author_facet Shirali Kadyrov
Alibek Orynbassar
Hayot Berk Saydaliev
author_sort Shirali Kadyrov
collection DOAJ
description Many research studies have been carried out to understand the epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic in its early phase. The current study is yet another contribution to better understand the disease properties by parameter estimation based on mathematical SIR epidemic modeling. The authors used Johns Hopkins University’s dataset to estimate the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 for five representative countries (Japan, Germany, Italy, France, and the Netherlands) that were selected using cluster analysis. As byproducts, the authors estimated the transmission, recovery, and death rates for each selected country and carried out statistical tests to see if there were any significant differences.
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spelling doaj.art-edb60b06b14f41ccb95e0a3f66ee1d172022-12-21T20:10:47ZengITB Journal PublisherJournal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences2337-57602338-55102021-12-0153310.5614/j.math.fund.sci.2021.53.3.2Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the OutbreakShirali Kadyrov0Alibek Orynbassar1Hayot Berk Saydaliev2Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Suleyman Demirel University, Kaskelen, KazakhstanFaculty of Education and Humanities Sciences, Suleyman Demirel University, 7 Kaskelen, KazakhstanBusiness School, Suleyman Demirel University, Kaskelen, KazakhstanMany research studies have been carried out to understand the epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic in its early phase. The current study is yet another contribution to better understand the disease properties by parameter estimation based on mathematical SIR epidemic modeling. The authors used Johns Hopkins University’s dataset to estimate the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 for five representative countries (Japan, Germany, Italy, France, and the Netherlands) that were selected using cluster analysis. As byproducts, the authors estimated the transmission, recovery, and death rates for each selected country and carried out statistical tests to see if there were any significant differences.https://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/jmfs/article/view/13573basic reproductionclusteringCOVID-19doubling perioddynamical systemsparameter estimation
spellingShingle Shirali Kadyrov
Alibek Orynbassar
Hayot Berk Saydaliev
Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
Journal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences
basic reproduction
clustering
COVID-19
doubling period
dynamical systems
parameter estimation
title Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
title_full Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
title_fullStr Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
title_full_unstemmed Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
title_short Purely Data-driven Exploration of COVID-19 Pandemic After Three Months of the Outbreak
title_sort purely data driven exploration of covid 19 pandemic after three months of the outbreak
topic basic reproduction
clustering
COVID-19
doubling period
dynamical systems
parameter estimation
url https://journals.itb.ac.id/index.php/jmfs/article/view/13573
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AT alibekorynbassar purelydatadrivenexplorationofcovid19pandemicafterthreemonthsoftheoutbreak
AT hayotberksaydaliev purelydatadrivenexplorationofcovid19pandemicafterthreemonthsoftheoutbreak