FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY

The article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subseq...

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Main Authors: Bartosz Kozicki, Artur Koszarek
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Military University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland 2020-03-01
Series:Defence Science Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdf
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author Bartosz Kozicki
Artur Koszarek
author_facet Bartosz Kozicki
Artur Koszarek
author_sort Bartosz Kozicki
collection DOAJ
description The article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subsequently, the analysed time series was divided into two segments. On the basis of the evaluation, forecasting was performed with various methods for the first part of the time series of the number of housing units completed in Poland, which consisted of 84 elements, and then the best forecasting method was selected. On the basis of that method, forecasting of the primary time series (consisting of 96 elements) of the number of housing units completed in Poland in 2010-2017 was performed retrospectively for 2018.
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spelling doaj.art-ee8074d2f2fe423c9394a4e95ef2b6fb2022-12-22T02:31:48ZengMilitary University of Technology, Warsaw, PolandDefence Science Review2450-68692719-67632020-03-019799110.37055/pno/130384FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITYBartosz Kozicki0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952XArtur Koszarek 1Wojskowa Akademia TechnicznaInspectorate for Armed Forces SupportThe article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subsequently, the analysed time series was divided into two segments. On the basis of the evaluation, forecasting was performed with various methods for the first part of the time series of the number of housing units completed in Poland, which consisted of 84 elements, and then the best forecasting method was selected. On the basis of that method, forecasting of the primary time series (consisting of 96 elements) of the number of housing units completed in Poland in 2010-2017 was performed retrospectively for 2018.http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdfeconomic growthforecastingsocial security
spellingShingle Bartosz Kozicki
Artur Koszarek
FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
Defence Science Review
economic growth
forecasting
social security
title FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
title_full FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
title_fullStr FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
title_full_unstemmed FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
title_short FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
title_sort forecasting the number of housing units delivered in poland in the years 2010 2017 in the context of social security
topic economic growth
forecasting
social security
url http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdf
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