FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY
The article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subseq...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Military University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
2020-03-01
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Series: | Defence Science Review |
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Online Access: | http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdf |
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author | Bartosz Kozicki Artur Koszarek |
author_facet | Bartosz Kozicki Artur Koszarek |
author_sort | Bartosz Kozicki |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subsequently, the analysed time series was divided into two segments. On the basis of the evaluation, forecasting was performed with various methods for the first part of the time series of the number of housing units completed in Poland, which consisted of 84 elements, and then the best forecasting method was selected. On the basis of that method, forecasting of the primary time series (consisting of 96 elements) of the number of housing units completed in Poland in 2010-2017 was performed retrospectively for 2018. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-13T20:12:16Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-ee8074d2f2fe423c9394a4e95ef2b6fb |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2450-6869 2719-6763 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-13T20:12:16Z |
publishDate | 2020-03-01 |
publisher | Military University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland |
record_format | Article |
series | Defence Science Review |
spelling | doaj.art-ee8074d2f2fe423c9394a4e95ef2b6fb2022-12-22T02:31:48ZengMilitary University of Technology, Warsaw, PolandDefence Science Review2450-68692719-67632020-03-019799110.37055/pno/130384FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITYBartosz Kozicki0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952XArtur Koszarek 1Wojskowa Akademia TechnicznaInspectorate for Armed Forces SupportThe article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subsequently, the analysed time series was divided into two segments. On the basis of the evaluation, forecasting was performed with various methods for the first part of the time series of the number of housing units completed in Poland, which consisted of 84 elements, and then the best forecasting method was selected. On the basis of that method, forecasting of the primary time series (consisting of 96 elements) of the number of housing units completed in Poland in 2010-2017 was performed retrospectively for 2018.http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdfeconomic growthforecastingsocial security |
spellingShingle | Bartosz Kozicki Artur Koszarek FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY Defence Science Review economic growth forecasting social security |
title | FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY |
title_full | FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY |
title_fullStr | FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY |
title_full_unstemmed | FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY |
title_short | FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DELIVERED IN POLAND IN THE YEARS 2010-2017 IN THE CONTEXT OF SOCIAL SECURITY |
title_sort | forecasting the number of housing units delivered in poland in the years 2010 2017 in the context of social security |
topic | economic growth forecasting social security |
url | http://www.defencesciencereview.com.pl/pdf-130384-57320?filename=FORECASTING%20THE%20NUMBER%20OF.pdf |
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