Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution

The precautionary principle is often proposed as a guide to action in environmental management or risk assessment, and has been incorporated in various legal and regulatory contexts. For many, it reflects the common sense notion of being safe rather than sorry, but it has attracted numerous critics....

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Main Author: Alan R. Johnson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Resilience Alliance 2012-09-01
Series:Ecology and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol17/iss3/art9/
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author Alan R. Johnson
author_facet Alan R. Johnson
author_sort Alan R. Johnson
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description The precautionary principle is often proposed as a guide to action in environmental management or risk assessment, and has been incorporated in various legal and regulatory contexts. For many, it reflects the common sense notion of being safe rather than sorry, but it has attracted numerous critics. At times, proponents and critics talk at cross purposes, due to the multiplicity of ways the precautionary principle has been formulated. The approach taken here is to examine four general varieties of precaution, relating each to arguments made in various contexts by others. First, I examine the parallel between the precautionary principle and an argument referred to as Pascal's wager. Critics are right to dismiss versions of the precautionary principle that follow the logic of Pascal's wager, because that argument requires assumption of an infinite catastrophe, which is seldom the case in environmental decisions. Second, I explore precaution viewed as an instance of the phenomenon of ambiguity aversion as described by Daniel Ellsberg. Third, I evaluate precautionary perspectives on our duties to future generations, drawing inspiration from the views of Gifford Pinchot. Fourth, I consider the precautionary principle as an instance of Aldo Leopold's notion of intelligent tinkering. Although controversy persists, I find that a legitimate theoretical foundation exists to implement Ellsbergian, Pinchotian and Leopoldean varieties of precaution in environmental decision making. Additionally, I remark on the role of adaptive management and maintaining resilience in ecological and social systems as an approach to implementing the precautionary principle.
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spelling doaj.art-ee955e33fd5643979f1774df994fd2572022-12-21T21:25:51ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872012-09-01173910.5751/ES-04827-1703094827Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled PrecautionAlan R. Johnson0Clemson UniversityThe precautionary principle is often proposed as a guide to action in environmental management or risk assessment, and has been incorporated in various legal and regulatory contexts. For many, it reflects the common sense notion of being safe rather than sorry, but it has attracted numerous critics. At times, proponents and critics talk at cross purposes, due to the multiplicity of ways the precautionary principle has been formulated. The approach taken here is to examine four general varieties of precaution, relating each to arguments made in various contexts by others. First, I examine the parallel between the precautionary principle and an argument referred to as Pascal's wager. Critics are right to dismiss versions of the precautionary principle that follow the logic of Pascal's wager, because that argument requires assumption of an infinite catastrophe, which is seldom the case in environmental decisions. Second, I explore precaution viewed as an instance of the phenomenon of ambiguity aversion as described by Daniel Ellsberg. Third, I evaluate precautionary perspectives on our duties to future generations, drawing inspiration from the views of Gifford Pinchot. Fourth, I consider the precautionary principle as an instance of Aldo Leopold's notion of intelligent tinkering. Although controversy persists, I find that a legitimate theoretical foundation exists to implement Ellsbergian, Pinchotian and Leopoldean varieties of precaution in environmental decision making. Additionally, I remark on the role of adaptive management and maintaining resilience in ecological and social systems as an approach to implementing the precautionary principle.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol17/iss3/art9/adaptive managementAldo LeopoldambiguityBlaise PascalDaniel Ellsbergdecision theoryfuture generationsGifford Pinchotintelligent tinkeringprecautionary principleresilienceriskuncertainty
spellingShingle Alan R. Johnson
Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
Ecology and Society
adaptive management
Aldo Leopold
ambiguity
Blaise Pascal
Daniel Ellsberg
decision theory
future generations
Gifford Pinchot
intelligent tinkering
precautionary principle
resilience
risk
uncertainty
title Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
title_full Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
title_fullStr Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
title_full_unstemmed Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
title_short Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution
title_sort avoiding environmental catastrophes varieties of principled precaution
topic adaptive management
Aldo Leopold
ambiguity
Blaise Pascal
Daniel Ellsberg
decision theory
future generations
Gifford Pinchot
intelligent tinkering
precautionary principle
resilience
risk
uncertainty
url http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol17/iss3/art9/
work_keys_str_mv AT alanrjohnson avoidingenvironmentalcatastrophesvarietiesofprincipledprecaution