Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression

Quantifying the impact of design variables in aerodynamic design exploration can provide valuable insights to designers. Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a crucial tool in aerodynamic design exploration that enables designers to gain valuable insights by quantifying the impact of design variable...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pramudita Satria Palar, Lavi Rizki Zuhal, Koji Shimoyama
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2023-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286493/
_version_ 1797649815196139520
author Pramudita Satria Palar
Lavi Rizki Zuhal
Koji Shimoyama
author_facet Pramudita Satria Palar
Lavi Rizki Zuhal
Koji Shimoyama
author_sort Pramudita Satria Palar
collection DOAJ
description Quantifying the impact of design variables in aerodynamic design exploration can provide valuable insights to designers. Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a crucial tool in aerodynamic design exploration that enables designers to gain valuable insights by quantifying the impact of design variables. In the field of GSA, the Shapley effect is a powerful alternative to total Sobol indices due to several mathematical advantages of the former. However, computing the Shapley effect is computationally expensive due to the large number of permutations involved. To overcome this challenge, surrogate models are often used to accurately estimate Shapley effects while reducing the number of function calls. This paper aims to investigate the effectiveness of using PCE to compute Shapley effects for independent inputs in aerodynamic design exploration. The exact calculation from PCE also enables the rapid assessment of confidence intervals for Shapley effects, taking into account the randomness in the experimental design via bootstrap resampling. The usefulness of Shapley effects with PCE is then demonstrated and compared with total Sobol indices through a nonlinear test function and three engineering problems, including subsonic wing, transonic airfoil, and fan blade design. The results also show that the confidence intervals of the Shapley effects are narrower than those of total Sobol indices, allowing better interpretation and higher confidence on the estimated GSA metric.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T15:51:26Z
format Article
id doaj.art-ee9df57fc1684c2281b24e8468b5818d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2169-3536
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T15:51:26Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher IEEE
record_format Article
series IEEE Access
spelling doaj.art-ee9df57fc1684c2281b24e8468b5818d2023-10-25T23:00:44ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362023-01-011111482511483910.1109/ACCESS.2023.332491810286493Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos RegressionPramudita Satria Palar0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7066-0763Lavi Rizki Zuhal1Koji Shimoyama2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8896-7707Faculty of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, IndonesiaFaculty of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Bandung Institute of Technology, Bandung, IndonesiaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, JapanQuantifying the impact of design variables in aerodynamic design exploration can provide valuable insights to designers. Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a crucial tool in aerodynamic design exploration that enables designers to gain valuable insights by quantifying the impact of design variables. In the field of GSA, the Shapley effect is a powerful alternative to total Sobol indices due to several mathematical advantages of the former. However, computing the Shapley effect is computationally expensive due to the large number of permutations involved. To overcome this challenge, surrogate models are often used to accurately estimate Shapley effects while reducing the number of function calls. This paper aims to investigate the effectiveness of using PCE to compute Shapley effects for independent inputs in aerodynamic design exploration. The exact calculation from PCE also enables the rapid assessment of confidence intervals for Shapley effects, taking into account the randomness in the experimental design via bootstrap resampling. The usefulness of Shapley effects with PCE is then demonstrated and compared with total Sobol indices through a nonlinear test function and three engineering problems, including subsonic wing, transonic airfoil, and fan blade design. The results also show that the confidence intervals of the Shapley effects are narrower than those of total Sobol indices, allowing better interpretation and higher confidence on the estimated GSA metric.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286493/Global sensitivity analysisShapley effectspolynomial chaos expansionaerodynamics
spellingShingle Pramudita Satria Palar
Lavi Rizki Zuhal
Koji Shimoyama
Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
IEEE Access
Global sensitivity analysis
Shapley effects
polynomial chaos expansion
aerodynamics
title Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
title_full Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
title_fullStr Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
title_full_unstemmed Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
title_short Global Sensitivity Analysis in Aerodynamic Design Using Shapley Effects and Polynomial Chaos Regression
title_sort global sensitivity analysis in aerodynamic design using shapley effects and polynomial chaos regression
topic Global sensitivity analysis
Shapley effects
polynomial chaos expansion
aerodynamics
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286493/
work_keys_str_mv AT pramuditasatriapalar globalsensitivityanalysisinaerodynamicdesignusingshapleyeffectsandpolynomialchaosregression
AT lavirizkizuhal globalsensitivityanalysisinaerodynamicdesignusingshapleyeffectsandpolynomialchaosregression
AT kojishimoyama globalsensitivityanalysisinaerodynamicdesignusingshapleyeffectsandpolynomialchaosregression