Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach

AbstractThe rise in food prices in Turkey in the post-Covid 19 period is extremely higher than the increase in the consumer price index and the social dimension of food price. This issue prompted researchers and policy makers to examine these topics. The fact that negativities which have been observ...

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Main Authors: İ̇brahim Orkun Oral, Avni Çakıcı, Fatih Yıldız, Mohannad Alayoubi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Cogent Food & Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311932.2023.2247169
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author İ̇brahim Orkun Oral
Avni Çakıcı
Fatih Yıldız
Mohannad Alayoubi
author_facet İ̇brahim Orkun Oral
Avni Çakıcı
Fatih Yıldız
Mohannad Alayoubi
author_sort İ̇brahim Orkun Oral
collection DOAJ
description AbstractThe rise in food prices in Turkey in the post-Covid 19 period is extremely higher than the increase in the consumer price index and the social dimension of food price. This issue prompted researchers and policy makers to examine these topics. The fact that negativities which have been observed worldwide in an emerging process are making a difference also reinforces the need for more intensive investigation of food prices or policies to be followed. This trend aims to identify the global and macroeconomic factors that cause the rise in food prices in the Turkish economy. According to this purpose, In order to measure the global impact, oil prices, the global fertilizer price index, and the world food price index were included in the study. The M2 exchange rate and money supply variables were used to measure the macroeconomic impact. In this context, monthly data for the period 2003:01–2022:03 were used in the analysis using the SVAR model. Result of the analysis indicated that global and macroeconomic factors had an impact on food prices in the period under consideration. As a result of the variance decomposition, it was observed that the food price after its own collisions was more reactive with the exchange rate, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-eef627729a06425097e55082465164af2023-12-01T08:31:55ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Food & Agriculture2331-19322023-12-019110.1080/23311932.2023.2247169Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approachİ̇brahim Orkun Oral0Avni Çakıcı1Fatih Yıldız2Mohannad Alayoubi3Department of Finance and Banking, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Bilecik Sheikh Edebali University, Bilecik, TurkeyDepartment of Food Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Istanbul Aydin University, Istanbul, TurkeyDepartment of Food Engineering and Biotechnology, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, TurkeyDepartment of Food Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Istanbul Aydin University, Istanbul, TurkeyAbstractThe rise in food prices in Turkey in the post-Covid 19 period is extremely higher than the increase in the consumer price index and the social dimension of food price. This issue prompted researchers and policy makers to examine these topics. The fact that negativities which have been observed worldwide in an emerging process are making a difference also reinforces the need for more intensive investigation of food prices or policies to be followed. This trend aims to identify the global and macroeconomic factors that cause the rise in food prices in the Turkish economy. According to this purpose, In order to measure the global impact, oil prices, the global fertilizer price index, and the world food price index were included in the study. The M2 exchange rate and money supply variables were used to measure the macroeconomic impact. In this context, monthly data for the period 2003:01–2022:03 were used in the analysis using the SVAR model. Result of the analysis indicated that global and macroeconomic factors had an impact on food prices in the period under consideration. As a result of the variance decomposition, it was observed that the food price after its own collisions was more reactive with the exchange rate, respectively.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311932.2023.2247169Turkeyinflationfood priceSVAR
spellingShingle İ̇brahim Orkun Oral
Avni Çakıcı
Fatih Yıldız
Mohannad Alayoubi
Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
Cogent Food & Agriculture
Turkey
inflation
food price
SVAR
title Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
title_full Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
title_fullStr Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
title_short Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach
title_sort determinants of food price in turkey a structural var approach
topic Turkey
inflation
food price
SVAR
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311932.2023.2247169
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AT fatihyıldız determinantsoffoodpriceinturkeyastructuralvarapproach
AT mohannadalayoubi determinantsoffoodpriceinturkeyastructuralvarapproach