Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia

Abstract Medicinal plants are valuable species, but their geographic distributions may be limited or exposed to extinction by climate change. Therefore, research on medicinal plants in the face of climate change is fundamental for developing conservation strategies. Distributional patterns for a sem...

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Main Authors: Sahar Karami, Hamid Ejtehadi, Hamid Moazzeni, Jamil Vaezi, Maryam Behroozian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-11-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24524-8
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author Sahar Karami
Hamid Ejtehadi
Hamid Moazzeni
Jamil Vaezi
Maryam Behroozian
author_facet Sahar Karami
Hamid Ejtehadi
Hamid Moazzeni
Jamil Vaezi
Maryam Behroozian
author_sort Sahar Karami
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Medicinal plants are valuable species, but their geographic distributions may be limited or exposed to extinction by climate change. Therefore, research on medicinal plants in the face of climate change is fundamental for developing conservation strategies. Distributional patterns for a semi-endemic medicinal plant species, Nepeta glomerulosa, distributed in southwestern and central Asia was determined based on a maximum–entropy algorithm. We evaluated potential geographic shifts in suitability patterns for this species under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) of climate change for 2060. Our models based on climatic features indicate that the species occupies montane areas under current conditions; transfer of the model to future climate scenarios indicated that suitable areas for the species will increase in general, and the species will likely track its favored set of climate conditions. But the types and degrees of these changes differ among areas. Our findings can be used to inform conservation management programs for medicinal, endemic, and endangered species that probably respond similarly to climate change in southwestern and central Asia.
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spelling doaj.art-ef00b9b250c44934a4b3d4855280877a2022-12-22T04:39:00ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-11-0112111010.1038/s41598-022-24524-8Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central AsiaSahar Karami0Hamid Ejtehadi1Hamid Moazzeni2Jamil Vaezi3Maryam Behroozian4Quantitative Plant Ecology and Biodiversity Research Lab, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Ferdowsi University of MashhadQuantitative Plant Ecology and Biodiversity Research Lab, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Ferdowsi University of MashhadHerbarium FUMH, Department of Botany, Research Center for Plant Sciences, Ferdowsi University of MashhadQuantitative Plant Ecology and Biodiversity Research Lab, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Ferdowsi University of MashhadHerbarium FUMH, Department of Botany, Research Center for Plant Sciences, Ferdowsi University of MashhadAbstract Medicinal plants are valuable species, but their geographic distributions may be limited or exposed to extinction by climate change. Therefore, research on medicinal plants in the face of climate change is fundamental for developing conservation strategies. Distributional patterns for a semi-endemic medicinal plant species, Nepeta glomerulosa, distributed in southwestern and central Asia was determined based on a maximum–entropy algorithm. We evaluated potential geographic shifts in suitability patterns for this species under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) of climate change for 2060. Our models based on climatic features indicate that the species occupies montane areas under current conditions; transfer of the model to future climate scenarios indicated that suitable areas for the species will increase in general, and the species will likely track its favored set of climate conditions. But the types and degrees of these changes differ among areas. Our findings can be used to inform conservation management programs for medicinal, endemic, and endangered species that probably respond similarly to climate change in southwestern and central Asia.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24524-8
spellingShingle Sahar Karami
Hamid Ejtehadi
Hamid Moazzeni
Jamil Vaezi
Maryam Behroozian
Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
Scientific Reports
title Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
title_full Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
title_fullStr Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
title_full_unstemmed Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
title_short Minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of Nepeta glomerulosa, medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central Asia
title_sort minimal climate change impacts on the geographic distribution of nepeta glomerulosa medicinal species endemic to southwestern and central asia
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24524-8
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