Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making
This paper describes the backcasting approach used in the OECD’s Environmentally Sustainable Transport (EST) Study, in which several countries participated. The backcasting approach can be seen as an innovative tool for policy making, which aims at generating alternative images of the future. These...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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TU Delft OPEN Publishing
2004-03-01
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| Series: | European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research |
| Online Access: | https://journals.open.tudelft.nl/ejtir/article/view/4256 |
| _version_ | 1797423666724601856 |
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| author | Karst Geurs Bert van Wee |
| author_facet | Karst Geurs Bert van Wee |
| author_sort | Karst Geurs |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper describes the backcasting approach used in the OECD’s Environmentally Sustainable Transport (EST) Study, in which several countries participated. The backcasting approach can be seen as an innovative tool for policy making, which aims at generating alternative images of the future. These images have been thoroughly analysed as to their feasibility, consequences and policy implications. Here, results and implications for backcasting shown in the Netherlands case study are highlighted and conclusions drawn that EST criteria will only be attainable if a substantial increase in development of technology and stringent behavioural adaptations, with changes in economic structures at an international level, are assumed. If EST is to be realised, measures will have to be taken and instruments will have to be implemented in the short term. Timely implementation will probably mean a necessary radical change in the current Dutch policy ‘life cycle’. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T07:51:13Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ef0f495223604b2a9a9310f9186bb39c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1567-7141 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T07:51:13Z |
| publishDate | 2004-03-01 |
| publisher | TU Delft OPEN Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-ef0f495223604b2a9a9310f9186bb39c2023-12-03T02:03:09ZengTU Delft OPEN PublishingEuropean Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research1567-71412004-03-014110.18757/ejtir.2004.4.1.42563763Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy MakingKarst Geurs0Bert van Wee1Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management Delft University of TechnologyThis paper describes the backcasting approach used in the OECD’s Environmentally Sustainable Transport (EST) Study, in which several countries participated. The backcasting approach can be seen as an innovative tool for policy making, which aims at generating alternative images of the future. These images have been thoroughly analysed as to their feasibility, consequences and policy implications. Here, results and implications for backcasting shown in the Netherlands case study are highlighted and conclusions drawn that EST criteria will only be attainable if a substantial increase in development of technology and stringent behavioural adaptations, with changes in economic structures at an international level, are assumed. If EST is to be realised, measures will have to be taken and instruments will have to be implemented in the short term. Timely implementation will probably mean a necessary radical change in the current Dutch policy ‘life cycle’.https://journals.open.tudelft.nl/ejtir/article/view/4256 |
| spellingShingle | Karst Geurs Bert van Wee Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research |
| title | Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making |
| title_full | Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making |
| title_fullStr | Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making |
| title_full_unstemmed | Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making |
| title_short | Backcasting as a Tool for Sustainable Transport Policy Making |
| title_sort | backcasting as a tool for sustainable transport policy making |
| url | https://journals.open.tudelft.nl/ejtir/article/view/4256 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT karstgeurs backcastingasatoolforsustainabletransportpolicymaking AT bertvanwee backcastingasatoolforsustainabletransportpolicymaking |