Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology

Heightened political tensions and advances in technological development have prompted Scandinavian countries to increase investment in military research and capability development. The aim of this study is to gain a better understanding of why actors sharing similar strategic cultures implement new...

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Main Authors: Ola Modig, Kent Andersson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Scandinavian Military Studies 2022-04-01
Series:Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sjms.nu/articles/117
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author Ola Modig
Kent Andersson
author_facet Ola Modig
Kent Andersson
author_sort Ola Modig
collection DOAJ
description Heightened political tensions and advances in technological development have prompted Scandinavian countries to increase investment in military research and capability development. The aim of this study is to gain a better understanding of why actors sharing similar strategic cultures implement new technology for military purposes differently. The research is founded on a cognitive-psychological perspective comparing two cases of innovation processes: Swedish nuclear weapons development during the Cold War and developments in Swedish cyber defence during the first decades of the 21st century. The main finding is that military innovation is better explained through a consideration of shared mental models of new technology than it is through a consideration of strategic cultures. The analysis shows there are implications for capability development. First, military innovation processes are only initiated if and when new technology appears militarily relevant to an actor; thus, the ability to correctly assess the military relevance of technology at an early stage is crucial. Second, the forming of shared mental models can both contribute to and counteract military innovation and, thus, decision-makers need to be aware both that mental models can be shared and that confirmation bias affects actors on a collective level. Third, it is likely that military innovation processes benefit from mental models being challenged and from diverging mental models being made evident. Consequently, it is good practice, also from this study’s perspective, to diversify and welcome different views on the use of new technology. Further studies are solicited in order to develop practical guidelines.
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spelling doaj.art-ef41039688554ac6992599e51e88a9322022-12-22T00:11:41ZengScandinavian Military StudiesScandinavian Journal of Military Studies2596-38562022-04-015110.31374/sjms.11773Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of TechnologyOla Modig0Kent Andersson1Swedish Armed ForcesSwedish Defence UniversityHeightened political tensions and advances in technological development have prompted Scandinavian countries to increase investment in military research and capability development. The aim of this study is to gain a better understanding of why actors sharing similar strategic cultures implement new technology for military purposes differently. The research is founded on a cognitive-psychological perspective comparing two cases of innovation processes: Swedish nuclear weapons development during the Cold War and developments in Swedish cyber defence during the first decades of the 21st century. The main finding is that military innovation is better explained through a consideration of shared mental models of new technology than it is through a consideration of strategic cultures. The analysis shows there are implications for capability development. First, military innovation processes are only initiated if and when new technology appears militarily relevant to an actor; thus, the ability to correctly assess the military relevance of technology at an early stage is crucial. Second, the forming of shared mental models can both contribute to and counteract military innovation and, thus, decision-makers need to be aware both that mental models can be shared and that confirmation bias affects actors on a collective level. Third, it is likely that military innovation processes benefit from mental models being challenged and from diverging mental models being made evident. Consequently, it is good practice, also from this study’s perspective, to diversify and welcome different views on the use of new technology. Further studies are solicited in order to develop practical guidelines.https://sjms.nu/articles/117military innovationtechnology forecastmilitary utilitymental modelconfirmation biasstrategic culture
spellingShingle Ola Modig
Kent Andersson
Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies
military innovation
technology forecast
military utility
mental model
confirmation bias
strategic culture
title Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
title_full Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
title_fullStr Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
title_full_unstemmed Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
title_short Military Innovation as the Result of Mental Models of Technology
title_sort military innovation as the result of mental models of technology
topic military innovation
technology forecast
military utility
mental model
confirmation bias
strategic culture
url https://sjms.nu/articles/117
work_keys_str_mv AT olamodig militaryinnovationastheresultofmentalmodelsoftechnology
AT kentandersson militaryinnovationastheresultofmentalmodelsoftechnology