Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
Periodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the las...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications
2018-01-01
|
Series: | Biomedical Research Journal |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0 |
_version_ | 1818414838788915200 |
---|---|
author | Praveen Kumar Anjali Kshirsagar Pratip Shil |
author_facet | Praveen Kumar Anjali Kshirsagar Pratip Shil |
author_sort | Praveen Kumar |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Periodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the last pandemic due to Swine origin Influenza A/H1N1 2009. Though transmission of Influenza in humans has been studied in various settings, studies on ship outbreaks are sparse. The current research aims to analyze the historical Influenza outbreaks on sailing ships. Study revealed the pattern of transmission in isolated population and estimates the epidemiological parameters viz. basic reproduction number (R0), epidemic growth rate (r), transmission rate (β). High clustering lead to intense transmission with 0 high value of basic reproductive number, R0. Also, the study brought to light the limitations of analyzing 0 historical data. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-14T11:25:28Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-ef613721c831437b880b55117c23fc02 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2349-3666 2349-3674 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-14T11:25:28Z |
publishDate | 2018-01-01 |
publisher | Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications |
record_format | Article |
series | Biomedical Research Journal |
spelling | doaj.art-ef613721c831437b880b55117c23fc022022-12-21T23:03:35ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsBiomedical Research Journal2349-36662349-36742018-01-0151283810.4103/2349-3666.240299Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenzaPraveen KumarAnjali KshirsagarPratip ShilPeriodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the last pandemic due to Swine origin Influenza A/H1N1 2009. Though transmission of Influenza in humans has been studied in various settings, studies on ship outbreaks are sparse. The current research aims to analyze the historical Influenza outbreaks on sailing ships. Study revealed the pattern of transmission in isolated population and estimates the epidemiological parameters viz. basic reproduction number (R0), epidemic growth rate (r), transmission rate (β). High clustering lead to intense transmission with 0 high value of basic reproductive number, R0. Also, the study brought to light the limitations of analyzing 0 historical data.http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0influenzaforce of infectionreproductive numberepidemicsgrowth rateship outbreak |
spellingShingle | Praveen Kumar Anjali Kshirsagar Pratip Shil Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza Biomedical Research Journal influenza force of infection reproductive number epidemics growth rate ship outbreak |
title | Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
title_full | Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
title_fullStr | Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
title_full_unstemmed | Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
title_short | Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
title_sort | estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza |
topic | influenza force of infection reproductive number epidemics growth rate ship outbreak |
url | http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT praveenkumar estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza AT anjalikshirsagar estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza AT pratipshil estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza |