Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza

Periodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the las...

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Main Authors: Praveen Kumar, Anjali Kshirsagar, Pratip Shil
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2018-01-01
Series:Biomedical Research Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0
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author Praveen Kumar
Anjali Kshirsagar
Pratip Shil
author_facet Praveen Kumar
Anjali Kshirsagar
Pratip Shil
author_sort Praveen Kumar
collection DOAJ
description Periodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the last pandemic due to Swine origin Influenza A/H1N1 2009. Though transmission of Influenza in humans has been studied in various settings, studies on ship outbreaks are sparse. The current research aims to analyze the historical Influenza outbreaks on sailing ships. Study revealed the pattern of transmission in isolated population and estimates the epidemiological parameters viz. basic reproduction number (R0), epidemic growth rate (r), transmission rate (β). High clustering lead to intense transmission with 0 high value of basic reproductive number, R0. Also, the study brought to light the limitations of analyzing 0 historical data.
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spelling doaj.art-ef613721c831437b880b55117c23fc022022-12-21T23:03:35ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsBiomedical Research Journal2349-36662349-36742018-01-0151283810.4103/2349-3666.240299Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenzaPraveen KumarAnjali KshirsagarPratip ShilPeriodic Influenza epidemics are a cause of concern world-wide due to heavy burden of disease consequently leading to economic distress mortality. In modern era, rapid international travel between populations makes the impact of air-borne diseases like Influenza more dramatic, as observed in the last pandemic due to Swine origin Influenza A/H1N1 2009. Though transmission of Influenza in humans has been studied in various settings, studies on ship outbreaks are sparse. The current research aims to analyze the historical Influenza outbreaks on sailing ships. Study revealed the pattern of transmission in isolated population and estimates the epidemiological parameters viz. basic reproduction number (R0), epidemic growth rate (r), transmission rate (β). High clustering lead to intense transmission with 0 high value of basic reproductive number, R0. Also, the study brought to light the limitations of analyzing 0 historical data.http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0influenzaforce of infectionreproductive numberepidemicsgrowth rateship outbreak
spellingShingle Praveen Kumar
Anjali Kshirsagar
Pratip Shil
Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
Biomedical Research Journal
influenza
force of infection
reproductive number
epidemics
growth rate
ship outbreak
title Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
title_full Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
title_fullStr Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
title_short Estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
title_sort estimation of epidemiological parameters for historicalm ship outbreaks of influenza
topic influenza
force of infection
reproductive number
epidemics
growth rate
ship outbreak
url http://www.brjnmims.org/article.asp?issn=2349-3666;year=2018;volume=5;issue=1;spage=28;epage=38;aulast=Kumar;type=0
work_keys_str_mv AT praveenkumar estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza
AT anjalikshirsagar estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza
AT pratipshil estimationofepidemiologicalparametersforhistoricalmshipoutbreaksofinfluenza