Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case

The study of dynamics of diabetic population infected by COVID-19 is of pressing concern as people with diabetes are considered to be at higher risk of severe illness from COVID-19. A three-compartment mathematical model to describe the interactions of diabetic population and non-diabetic population...

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Main Authors: Anand Monalisa, Danumjaya Palla, Rao Ponnada Raja Sekhara
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2023-12-01
Series:Computational and Mathematical Biophysics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/cmb-2023-0115
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author Anand Monalisa
Danumjaya Palla
Rao Ponnada Raja Sekhara
author_facet Anand Monalisa
Danumjaya Palla
Rao Ponnada Raja Sekhara
author_sort Anand Monalisa
collection DOAJ
description The study of dynamics of diabetic population infected by COVID-19 is of pressing concern as people with diabetes are considered to be at higher risk of severe illness from COVID-19. A three-compartment mathematical model to describe the interactions of diabetic population and non-diabetic population both infected by COVID-19 with a susceptible population is considered. Time delays in incubation periods of COVID-19 in diabetic and non-diabetic populations are introduced. Besides the basic properties of such a dynamical system, both local and global stability of endemic equilibrium, are studied. The lengths of time delays are estimated for which the stability of the system is preserved locally, while sufficient conditions on system parameters are obtained for global stability. Numerical examples are provided to establish the theory, and simulations are provided to visualize the examples. It is noted that an increase in length of time delay in either of infected populations leads to oscillations in susceptible population but has no impact on infected populations.
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spelling doaj.art-ef7eea29ba4844738f1ea45d28f658b82024-02-12T09:11:44ZengDe GruyterComputational and Mathematical Biophysics2544-72972023-12-0111134636910.1515/cmb-2023-0115Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence caseAnand Monalisa0Danumjaya Palla1Rao Ponnada Raja Sekhara2Department of Mathematics, BITS-Pilani K.K. Birla Goa Campus, Goa-403726, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, BITS-Pilani K.K. Birla Goa Campus, Goa-403726, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, Govt. Polytechnic for Minorities, Guntur-522005, A.P., IndiaThe study of dynamics of diabetic population infected by COVID-19 is of pressing concern as people with diabetes are considered to be at higher risk of severe illness from COVID-19. A three-compartment mathematical model to describe the interactions of diabetic population and non-diabetic population both infected by COVID-19 with a susceptible population is considered. Time delays in incubation periods of COVID-19 in diabetic and non-diabetic populations are introduced. Besides the basic properties of such a dynamical system, both local and global stability of endemic equilibrium, are studied. The lengths of time delays are estimated for which the stability of the system is preserved locally, while sufficient conditions on system parameters are obtained for global stability. Numerical examples are provided to establish the theory, and simulations are provided to visualize the examples. It is noted that an increase in length of time delay in either of infected populations leads to oscillations in susceptible population but has no impact on infected populations.https://doi.org/10.1515/cmb-2023-0115covid-19diabetesdelay differential equationequilibriastability analysisnumerical experiments92c4293c4392d25
spellingShingle Anand Monalisa
Danumjaya Palla
Rao Ponnada Raja Sekhara
Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
Computational and Mathematical Biophysics
covid-19
diabetes
delay differential equation
equilibria
stability analysis
numerical experiments
92c42
93c43
92d25
title Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
title_full Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
title_fullStr Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
title_full_unstemmed Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
title_short Influence of incubation delays on COVID-19 transmission in diabetic and non-diabetic populations – an endemic prevalence case
title_sort influence of incubation delays on covid 19 transmission in diabetic and non diabetic populations an endemic prevalence case
topic covid-19
diabetes
delay differential equation
equilibria
stability analysis
numerical experiments
92c42
93c43
92d25
url https://doi.org/10.1515/cmb-2023-0115
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AT raoponnadarajasekhara influenceofincubationdelaysoncovid19transmissionindiabeticandnondiabeticpopulationsanendemicprevalencecase