Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

Considering the important role of stock market in economic development, finding this fact that whether price increases is due to fundamental elements or not can help a country’s policy makers to direct the capital market to the right direction. Therefore, this study investigates the existence of a c...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Hasan Gholizadeh, Ismael Ramazanpour, Mahsa Farkhondeh Farkhondeh
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2016-06-01
Series:مطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_7062_96d8de79aa2db1fa8399755325b73458.pdf
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author Mohammad Hasan Gholizadeh
Ismael Ramazanpour
Mahsa Farkhondeh Farkhondeh
author_facet Mohammad Hasan Gholizadeh
Ismael Ramazanpour
Mahsa Farkhondeh Farkhondeh
author_sort Mohammad Hasan Gholizadeh
collection DOAJ
description Considering the important role of stock market in economic development, finding this fact that whether price increases is due to fundamental elements or not can help a country’s policy makers to direct the capital market to the right direction. Therefore, this study investigates the existence of a certain type of rational bubbles due to the fundamental elements which called rational intrinsic bubble during 1385 to 1392. Then, in the second phase this matter will be examined that if the earnings can predict future return regarding to intrinsic bubbles so for this purpose Vector Auto Regression model has been applied. The required data have been collected seasonally and calculated by using and Rahavard Novin Software, 65 companies selected as research samples and data has been analyzed by using Eviews7 .the analyzing results indicate that there are intrinsic bubbles in 15 companies which is due to changing of fundamental elements such as dividend. Also the results indicate that in companies in which there is not any intrinsic bubbles, earning can predict future returns.
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spelling doaj.art-efa64942376a46e1a43b673e790f26902023-12-23T10:36:24ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressمطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی2821-01662538-25192016-06-01135015718410.22054/qjma.2016.70627062Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock ExchangeMohammad Hasan Gholizadeh0Ismael Ramazanpour1Mahsa Farkhondeh Farkhondeh2استادیار مدیریت مالی، دانشگاه گیلاناستادیار اقتصاد، دانشگاه گیلانMahsa.farkhondeh85@yahoo.com کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت بازرگانی دانشگاه گیلان نوبیسنده مسئولConsidering the important role of stock market in economic development, finding this fact that whether price increases is due to fundamental elements or not can help a country’s policy makers to direct the capital market to the right direction. Therefore, this study investigates the existence of a certain type of rational bubbles due to the fundamental elements which called rational intrinsic bubble during 1385 to 1392. Then, in the second phase this matter will be examined that if the earnings can predict future return regarding to intrinsic bubbles so for this purpose Vector Auto Regression model has been applied. The required data have been collected seasonally and calculated by using and Rahavard Novin Software, 65 companies selected as research samples and data has been analyzed by using Eviews7 .the analyzing results indicate that there are intrinsic bubbles in 15 companies which is due to changing of fundamental elements such as dividend. Also the results indicate that in companies in which there is not any intrinsic bubbles, earning can predict future returns.https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_7062_96d8de79aa2db1fa8399755325b73458.pdfrational expectationsefficiency market hypothesisfundamentalsintrinsic bubblevector auto regressive (var)
spellingShingle Mohammad Hasan Gholizadeh
Ismael Ramazanpour
Mahsa Farkhondeh Farkhondeh
Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
مطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی
rational expectations
efficiency market hypothesis
fundamentals
intrinsic bubble
vector auto regressive (var)
title Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
title_fullStr Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
title_short Investigating the Causing Relation Earning and Future Return to Existing Rational Intrinsic Bubble of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange
title_sort investigating the causing relation earning and future return to existing rational intrinsic bubble of listed companies in tehran stock exchange
topic rational expectations
efficiency market hypothesis
fundamentals
intrinsic bubble
vector auto regressive (var)
url https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_7062_96d8de79aa2db1fa8399755325b73458.pdf
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