Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil
The climate change expected for the coming years can cause large economic losses and a strong impact on intestinal parasites of ruminants throughout the world. In this sense, organisms belonging to the class trematoda seem to be highly sensitive to any changes in the patterns of temperature and rain...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universidade Estadual de Londrina
2014-12-01
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| Series: | Semina: Ciências Agrárias |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/editor/submission/16247 |
| _version_ | 1818359730768183296 |
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| author | Deivid França Freitas Isabella Vilhena Freire Martins Gleissy Mary Amaral Dino Alves dos Santos Alexandre Rosa dos Santos |
| author_facet | Deivid França Freitas Isabella Vilhena Freire Martins Gleissy Mary Amaral Dino Alves dos Santos Alexandre Rosa dos Santos |
| author_sort | Deivid França Freitas |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The climate change expected for the coming years can cause large economic losses and a strong impact on intestinal parasites of ruminants throughout the world. In this sense, organisms belonging to the class trematoda seem to be highly sensitive to any changes in the patterns of temperature and rainfall caused by possible climate change. So, maps were elaborated forecasting current and future risk to Fasciola hepatica in the state of Espírito Santo, Southeast of Brazil, using as a base increases in the temperature ranging from 1°C to 5°C. Environmental and climatic factors like temperature, rainfall, altitude and declivity were used for generation of maps bioclimatic risk of fasciolosis through of the ArcGIS/ArcInfo 10.1 Software. High-risk areas resulted in a total of 35.42% for the current risk and tended to decrease with increases in temperature over the next 100 years, which favored a reduction of 35.42% to 33.84% in these regions. The places included in the of low risk areas showed significant increases in their areas for temperatures up to 5°C with values ranging from 24.65% to 28.26% of their areas. These forecasting models using increases in temperatures in the generation of risk maps to F. hepatica were first made in Brazil and like the others, represented a tendency to aid in policy making animal and human health oriented regions shown to be potentially suitable for the risk of bovine fasciolosis. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-13T20:49:33Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-efac16b4fb8744eda838fe03dd3b5c8f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1676-546X 1679-0359 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-13T20:49:33Z |
| publishDate | 2014-12-01 |
| publisher | Universidade Estadual de Londrina |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Semina: Ciências Agrárias |
| spelling | doaj.art-efac16b4fb8744eda838fe03dd3b5c8f2022-12-21T23:31:54ZengUniversidade Estadual de LondrinaSemina: Ciências Agrárias1676-546X1679-03592014-12-013563147316010.5433/1679-0359.2014v35n6p3147Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, BrazilDeivid França Freitas0Isabella Vilhena Freire Martins 1Gleissy Mary Amaral Dino Alves dos Santos 2Alexandre Rosa dos Santos 3Universidade Estadual do Norte Fluminense Darcy RibeiroUniversidade Federal do Espírito SantoUniversidade Federal de ViçosaUniversidade Federal do Espírito SantoThe climate change expected for the coming years can cause large economic losses and a strong impact on intestinal parasites of ruminants throughout the world. In this sense, organisms belonging to the class trematoda seem to be highly sensitive to any changes in the patterns of temperature and rainfall caused by possible climate change. So, maps were elaborated forecasting current and future risk to Fasciola hepatica in the state of Espírito Santo, Southeast of Brazil, using as a base increases in the temperature ranging from 1°C to 5°C. Environmental and climatic factors like temperature, rainfall, altitude and declivity were used for generation of maps bioclimatic risk of fasciolosis through of the ArcGIS/ArcInfo 10.1 Software. High-risk areas resulted in a total of 35.42% for the current risk and tended to decrease with increases in temperature over the next 100 years, which favored a reduction of 35.42% to 33.84% in these regions. The places included in the of low risk areas showed significant increases in their areas for temperatures up to 5°C with values ranging from 24.65% to 28.26% of their areas. These forecasting models using increases in temperatures in the generation of risk maps to F. hepatica were first made in Brazil and like the others, represented a tendency to aid in policy making animal and human health oriented regions shown to be potentially suitable for the risk of bovine fasciolosis.http://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/editor/submission/16247Geographic Information System (GIS); Climate change; Fasciola hepatica; Cattle. |
| spellingShingle | Deivid França Freitas Isabella Vilhena Freire Martins Gleissy Mary Amaral Dino Alves dos Santos Alexandre Rosa dos Santos Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil Semina: Ciências Agrárias Geographic Information System (GIS); Climate change; Fasciola hepatica; Cattle. |
| title | Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil |
| title_full | Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil |
| title_fullStr | Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil |
| title_short | Climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in Espírito Santo state, Brazil |
| title_sort | climate change on the forecasted risk of bovine fasciolosis in espirito santo state brazil |
| topic | Geographic Information System (GIS); Climate change; Fasciola hepatica; Cattle. |
| url | http://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/editor/submission/16247 |
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