A new production component method for natural gas development planning
Based on an analysis of the limitations of conventional production component methods for natural gas development planning, this study proposes a new one that uses life cycle models for the trend fitting and prediction of production. In this new method, the annual production of old and new wells is p...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2024-01-01
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| Series: | Energy Geoscience |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666759223000793 |
| _version_ | 1797347788423430144 |
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| author | Fanliao Wang Jiangchen Han Shucheng Liu Yanqing Liu Kun Su Jing Du Liru Wang |
| author_facet | Fanliao Wang Jiangchen Han Shucheng Liu Yanqing Liu Kun Su Jing Du Liru Wang |
| author_sort | Fanliao Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Based on an analysis of the limitations of conventional production component methods for natural gas development planning, this study proposes a new one that uses life cycle models for the trend fitting and prediction of production. In this new method, the annual production of old and new wells is predicted by year first and then is summed up to yield the production for the planning period. It shows that the changes in the production of old wells in old blocks can be fitted and predicted using the vapor pressure model (VPM), with precision of 80%–95%, which is 6.6%–13.2% higher than that of other life cycle models. Furthermore, a new production prediction process and method for new wells have been established based on this life cycle model to predict the production of medium-to-shallow gas reservoirs in western Sichuan Basin, with predication error of production rate in 2021 and 2022 being 6% and 3% respectively. The new method can be used to guide the medium- and long-term planning or annual scheme preparation for gas development. It is also applicable to planning for large single gas blocks that require continuous infill drilling and adjustment to improve gas recovery. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T11:53:49Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-efd7f09dfadf4b2ea78d3d08559661a1 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2666-7592 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T11:53:49Z |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energy Geoscience |
| spelling | doaj.art-efd7f09dfadf4b2ea78d3d08559661a12024-01-24T05:22:10ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Energy Geoscience2666-75922024-01-0151100233A new production component method for natural gas development planningFanliao Wang0Jiangchen Han1Shucheng Liu2Yanqing Liu3Kun Su4Jing Du5Liru Wang6Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, China; Corresponding author.Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development, PetroChina, Beijing, 100083, ChinaPetroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, ChinaPetroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, ChinaPetroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, ChinaPetroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, ChinaPetroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute, SINOPEC, Beijing, 102206, ChinaBased on an analysis of the limitations of conventional production component methods for natural gas development planning, this study proposes a new one that uses life cycle models for the trend fitting and prediction of production. In this new method, the annual production of old and new wells is predicted by year first and then is summed up to yield the production for the planning period. It shows that the changes in the production of old wells in old blocks can be fitted and predicted using the vapor pressure model (VPM), with precision of 80%–95%, which is 6.6%–13.2% higher than that of other life cycle models. Furthermore, a new production prediction process and method for new wells have been established based on this life cycle model to predict the production of medium-to-shallow gas reservoirs in western Sichuan Basin, with predication error of production rate in 2021 and 2022 being 6% and 3% respectively. The new method can be used to guide the medium- and long-term planning or annual scheme preparation for gas development. It is also applicable to planning for large single gas blocks that require continuous infill drilling and adjustment to improve gas recovery.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666759223000793Production component methodProduction predictionLife cycle modelGas development planningWestern Sichuan Basin |
| spellingShingle | Fanliao Wang Jiangchen Han Shucheng Liu Yanqing Liu Kun Su Jing Du Liru Wang A new production component method for natural gas development planning Energy Geoscience Production component method Production prediction Life cycle model Gas development planning Western Sichuan Basin |
| title | A new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| title_full | A new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| title_fullStr | A new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| title_full_unstemmed | A new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| title_short | A new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| title_sort | new production component method for natural gas development planning |
| topic | Production component method Production prediction Life cycle model Gas development planning Western Sichuan Basin |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666759223000793 |
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