Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model

Modelling and estimating spatio-temporal dynamic field are common challenges in much applied research. Most existing spatio-temporal interpolation methods require massive prior calculations and consistent observational data, resulting in low interpolation efficiency. This paper presents a flexible s...

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Main Authors: Zhichao Shi, Xiaoguang Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-09-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/9050
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author Zhichao Shi
Xiaoguang Zhou
author_facet Zhichao Shi
Xiaoguang Zhou
author_sort Zhichao Shi
collection DOAJ
description Modelling and estimating spatio-temporal dynamic field are common challenges in much applied research. Most existing spatio-temporal interpolation methods require massive prior calculations and consistent observational data, resulting in low interpolation efficiency. This paper presents a flexible state-space model for iteratively fitting time-series from random missing points in data sets, namely Flexible Universal Kriging state-space model(FUKSS). In this work, a recursive method similar to Kalman filter is used to estimate the time-series, avoiding the problem of increasing data caused by Kriging space-time extension. Based on the statistical characteristics of Kriging, this method introduces a spatial selection matrix to make the different observation data and state vectors identical at different times, which solves the problem of missing data and reduces the calculation complexity. In addition, a dynamic linear autoregressive model is introduced to solve the problem that the universal Kriging state-space model cannot predict. We have demonstrated the superiority of our method by comparing it with different methods through experiments, and verified the effectiveness of this method through practical cases.
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spelling doaj.art-efdd8aab8bcc47f88f4ebc8fb913ce0b2023-11-22T15:47:07ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-09-011119905010.3390/app11199050Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space ModelZhichao Shi0Xiaoguang Zhou1School of Automation, Engineering Research Center of Information Network, Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, ChinaSchool of Automation, Engineering Research Center of Information Network, Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, ChinaModelling and estimating spatio-temporal dynamic field are common challenges in much applied research. Most existing spatio-temporal interpolation methods require massive prior calculations and consistent observational data, resulting in low interpolation efficiency. This paper presents a flexible state-space model for iteratively fitting time-series from random missing points in data sets, namely Flexible Universal Kriging state-space model(FUKSS). In this work, a recursive method similar to Kalman filter is used to estimate the time-series, avoiding the problem of increasing data caused by Kriging space-time extension. Based on the statistical characteristics of Kriging, this method introduces a spatial selection matrix to make the different observation data and state vectors identical at different times, which solves the problem of missing data and reduces the calculation complexity. In addition, a dynamic linear autoregressive model is introduced to solve the problem that the universal Kriging state-space model cannot predict. We have demonstrated the superiority of our method by comparing it with different methods through experiments, and verified the effectiveness of this method through practical cases.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/9050spatio-temporal dynamic fielduniversal Krigingstate-space modelmissing datadynamic model
spellingShingle Zhichao Shi
Xiaoguang Zhou
Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
Applied Sciences
spatio-temporal dynamic field
universal Kriging
state-space model
missing data
dynamic model
title Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
title_full Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
title_fullStr Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
title_full_unstemmed Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
title_short Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Fields Estimating and Modeling of Missing Points in Data Sets Using a Flexible State-Space Model
title_sort spatio temporal dynamic fields estimating and modeling of missing points in data sets using a flexible state space model
topic spatio-temporal dynamic field
universal Kriging
state-space model
missing data
dynamic model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/19/9050
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AT xiaoguangzhou spatiotemporaldynamicfieldsestimatingandmodelingofmissingpointsindatasetsusingaflexiblestatespacemodel