Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept

Human movements have raised broad attention, and many models have been developed to reproduce them. However, most studies focus on reproducing the statistical properties of human mobility, such as the travel distance and the visiting frequency. In this paper, a two-step Markov Chain model is propose...

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Main Authors: Weiying Wang, Toshihiro Osaragi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/4/219
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author Weiying Wang
Toshihiro Osaragi
author_facet Weiying Wang
Toshihiro Osaragi
author_sort Weiying Wang
collection DOAJ
description Human movements have raised broad attention, and many models have been developed to reproduce them. However, most studies focus on reproducing the statistical properties of human mobility, such as the travel distance and the visiting frequency. In this paper, a two-step Markov Chain model is proposed to generate daily human movements, and spatial and spatiotemporal attributes of reproduced mobility are examined. In the first step, people’s statuses in the next time slot are conditioned on their previous travel patterns; and in the second step, individual location in such a slot is probabilistically determined based on his/her status. Our model successfully reproduces the spatial and spatiotemporal characteristics of human daily movements, and the result indicates that people’s future statuses can be inferred based on travel patterns they made, regardless of exactly where they have traveled, and when trips happen. We also revisit the energy concept, and show that the energy expenditure is stable over years. This idea is further used to predict the proportion of long-distance trips for each year, which gives insights into the probabilities of statuses in the next time slot. Finally, we interpret the constant energy expenditure as the constant ‘cost’ over years.
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spelling doaj.art-efdec2fce29d43e284ce003f2c950f862023-12-01T21:01:11ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642022-03-0111421910.3390/ijgi11040219Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy ConceptWeiying Wang0Toshihiro Osaragi1Department of Architecture and Building Engineering, School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo 152-8550, JapanDepartment of Architecture and Building Engineering, School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo 152-8550, JapanHuman movements have raised broad attention, and many models have been developed to reproduce them. However, most studies focus on reproducing the statistical properties of human mobility, such as the travel distance and the visiting frequency. In this paper, a two-step Markov Chain model is proposed to generate daily human movements, and spatial and spatiotemporal attributes of reproduced mobility are examined. In the first step, people’s statuses in the next time slot are conditioned on their previous travel patterns; and in the second step, individual location in such a slot is probabilistically determined based on his/her status. Our model successfully reproduces the spatial and spatiotemporal characteristics of human daily movements, and the result indicates that people’s future statuses can be inferred based on travel patterns they made, regardless of exactly where they have traveled, and when trips happen. We also revisit the energy concept, and show that the energy expenditure is stable over years. This idea is further used to predict the proportion of long-distance trips for each year, which gives insights into the probabilities of statuses in the next time slot. Finally, we interpret the constant energy expenditure as the constant ‘cost’ over years.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/4/219reproduce human mobilityreproduction modelenergy expenditureMarkov Chain model
spellingShingle Weiying Wang
Toshihiro Osaragi
Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
reproduce human mobility
reproduction model
energy expenditure
Markov Chain model
title Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
title_full Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
title_fullStr Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
title_full_unstemmed Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
title_short Daily Human Mobility: A Reproduction Model and Insights from the Energy Concept
title_sort daily human mobility a reproduction model and insights from the energy concept
topic reproduce human mobility
reproduction model
energy expenditure
Markov Chain model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/11/4/219
work_keys_str_mv AT weiyingwang dailyhumanmobilityareproductionmodelandinsightsfromtheenergyconcept
AT toshihiroosaragi dailyhumanmobilityareproductionmodelandinsightsfromtheenergyconcept