A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire

Natural phenomena, such as wildfires, usually require the coincidence of several related factors in both time and space. In wildfire studies, literature-based factors were collected and listed in Mhawej et al. (2015). The question remains: which combination of factors leads to wildfires? In this con...

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Main Authors: Mario Mhawej, Ghaleb Faour, Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2017-01-01
Series:Climate Risk Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096317300141
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author Mario Mhawej
Ghaleb Faour
Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard
author_facet Mario Mhawej
Ghaleb Faour
Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard
author_sort Mario Mhawej
collection DOAJ
description Natural phenomena, such as wildfires, usually require the coincidence of several related factors in both time and space. In wildfire studies, literature-based factors were collected and listed in Mhawej et al. (2015). The question remains: which combination of factors leads to wildfires? In this context, a novel combination of wildfire likelihood factors was proposed in three different Lebanese forest covers (i.e., pine, oak, and mixed) and related literature-based factors to historical wildfire occurrences. The threshold values of each factor were deduced from the relationship between the element and number of fire occurrences. Each combination of factors was given a unique number. These mixtures corresponded to two, three, four or five factor groupings. The result was the association of each likelihood probability (i.e., low, medium, high, and very high) with different combinations of factors. Ultimately, using these combinations, the wildfire likelihood in Lebanese forests was efficiently and instantaneously generated. This approach could be portable to other Mediterranean regions and applied to several natural hazards.
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spelling doaj.art-efec05ceaa3c4444a9c3857f72d586472022-12-22T03:47:34ZengElsevierClimate Risk Management2212-09632017-01-0116C12013210.1016/j.crm.2017.01.004A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfireMario Mhawej0Ghaleb Faour1Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard2National Center for Remote Sensing, National Council for Scientific Research (CNRS), Riad al Soloh, 1107 2260 Beirut, LebanonNational Center for Remote Sensing, National Council for Scientific Research (CNRS), Riad al Soloh, 1107 2260 Beirut, LebanonSt Joseph University, Department of Geography, Damascus Street, Mar Mickael, 1104 2020 Beirut, LebanonNatural phenomena, such as wildfires, usually require the coincidence of several related factors in both time and space. In wildfire studies, literature-based factors were collected and listed in Mhawej et al. (2015). The question remains: which combination of factors leads to wildfires? In this context, a novel combination of wildfire likelihood factors was proposed in three different Lebanese forest covers (i.e., pine, oak, and mixed) and related literature-based factors to historical wildfire occurrences. The threshold values of each factor were deduced from the relationship between the element and number of fire occurrences. Each combination of factors was given a unique number. These mixtures corresponded to two, three, four or five factor groupings. The result was the association of each likelihood probability (i.e., low, medium, high, and very high) with different combinations of factors. Ultimately, using these combinations, the wildfire likelihood in Lebanese forests was efficiently and instantaneously generated. This approach could be portable to other Mediterranean regions and applied to several natural hazards.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096317300141WildfireLikelihoodCombination of factorsPythonLebanonNatural hazard
spellingShingle Mario Mhawej
Ghaleb Faour
Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard
A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
Climate Risk Management
Wildfire
Likelihood
Combination of factors
Python
Lebanon
Natural hazard
title A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
title_full A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
title_fullStr A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
title_full_unstemmed A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
title_short A novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
title_sort novel method to identify likely causes of wildfire
topic Wildfire
Likelihood
Combination of factors
Python
Lebanon
Natural hazard
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096317300141
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