Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited

The DPP's victory over the KMT in Taiwan's 2020 elections has been interpreted as a triumph for anti-China sentiment. However, the rise of political outsiders and their influence on voting behavior in this election were overlooked and underestimated. In this article, we examined different...

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Main Author: Kai-Ping Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: ANPOR Korea 2023-05-01
Series:Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.15206/ajpor.2023.11.2.77
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author Kai-Ping Huang
author_facet Kai-Ping Huang
author_sort Kai-Ping Huang
collection DOAJ
description The DPP's victory over the KMT in Taiwan's 2020 elections has been interpreted as a triumph for anti-China sentiment. However, the rise of political outsiders and their influence on voting behavior in this election were overlooked and underestimated. In this article, we examined different sources of data and found that supporters of these political outsiders mentioned sovereignty and cross-Strait issues less than the incumbent Tsai Ing-wen. However, when faced with the choice between Tsai and challenger Han Kuo-yu, voters who were concerned about governance chose Tsai, contributing to her winning a record number of votes. This article suggests that economic and governance issues had a considerable role in the election's result and will probably be the main focus of the 2024 presidential election. With the potential for a conflict in the Taiwan Strait increasing, anti-China sentiment is unlikely to be the deciding factor this time around.
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spelling doaj.art-f081dbcca1c74101bb0781a473b706f62024-01-28T00:27:06ZengANPOR KoreaAsian Journal for Public Opinion Research2288-61682023-05-01112Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election RevisitedKai-Ping HuangThe DPP's victory over the KMT in Taiwan's 2020 elections has been interpreted as a triumph for anti-China sentiment. However, the rise of political outsiders and their influence on voting behavior in this election were overlooked and underestimated. In this article, we examined different sources of data and found that supporters of these political outsiders mentioned sovereignty and cross-Strait issues less than the incumbent Tsai Ing-wen. However, when faced with the choice between Tsai and challenger Han Kuo-yu, voters who were concerned about governance chose Tsai, contributing to her winning a record number of votes. This article suggests that economic and governance issues had a considerable role in the election's result and will probably be the main focus of the 2024 presidential election. With the potential for a conflict in the Taiwan Strait increasing, anti-China sentiment is unlikely to be the deciding factor this time around.https://doi.org/10.15206/ajpor.2023.11.2.77
spellingShingle Kai-Ping Huang
Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
title Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
title_full Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
title_fullStr Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
title_full_unstemmed Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
title_short Still Aquamarine: China Factor and the 2020 Election Revisited
title_sort still aquamarine china factor and the 2020 election revisited
url https://doi.org/10.15206/ajpor.2023.11.2.77
work_keys_str_mv AT kaipinghuang stillaquamarinechinafactorandthe2020electionrevisited