Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding

Construction remains a significant area of public expenditure. An understanding of the process of changes in construction pricing, and how the process can be manipulated through the release of bidding feedback information is vital, in order to best design clients’ procurement policies. This paper ai...

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Main Authors: Bee Lan Oo, Florence Yean Yng Ling, Alexander Soo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: UTS ePRESS 2015-11-01
Series:Construction Economics and Building
Subjects:
Online Access:https://learning-analytics.info/journals/index.php/AJCEB/article/view/4653
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author Bee Lan Oo
Florence Yean Yng Ling
Alexander Soo
author_facet Bee Lan Oo
Florence Yean Yng Ling
Alexander Soo
author_sort Bee Lan Oo
collection DOAJ
description Construction remains a significant area of public expenditure. An understanding of the process of changes in construction pricing, and how the process can be manipulated through the release of bidding feedback information is vital, in order to best design clients’ procurement policies. This paper aims to statistically model inexperienced individual bidders’ learning in recurrent bidding under partial and full information feedback conditions. Using an experimental dataset, the developed linear mixed model contains three predictor variables, namely: time factor, information feedback conditions, and bidding success rate in the preceding round. The results show nonlinearity and curvature in the bidders’ learning curves. They are generally less competitive in time periods after a winning bid with lower average bids submitted by those subjected to full information feedback condition. In addition, the model has captured the existence of heterogeneity across bidders with individual-specific parameter estimates that demonstrate the uniqueness of individual bidders’ learning curves in recurrent bidding. The findings advocate for adequate bidding feedback information in clients’ procurement design to facilitate learning among contractors, which may in turn lead to increased competitiveness in their bids.
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spelling doaj.art-f0dcc78192c3490fbbe24365052c896b2022-12-22T01:48:48ZengUTS ePRESSConstruction Economics and Building2204-90292015-11-0115410.5130/AJCEB.v15i4.46532972Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent BiddingBee Lan Oo0Florence Yean Yng Ling1Alexander SooUNSWNational University of SingaporeConstruction remains a significant area of public expenditure. An understanding of the process of changes in construction pricing, and how the process can be manipulated through the release of bidding feedback information is vital, in order to best design clients’ procurement policies. This paper aims to statistically model inexperienced individual bidders’ learning in recurrent bidding under partial and full information feedback conditions. Using an experimental dataset, the developed linear mixed model contains three predictor variables, namely: time factor, information feedback conditions, and bidding success rate in the preceding round. The results show nonlinearity and curvature in the bidders’ learning curves. They are generally less competitive in time periods after a winning bid with lower average bids submitted by those subjected to full information feedback condition. In addition, the model has captured the existence of heterogeneity across bidders with individual-specific parameter estimates that demonstrate the uniqueness of individual bidders’ learning curves in recurrent bidding. The findings advocate for adequate bidding feedback information in clients’ procurement design to facilitate learning among contractors, which may in turn lead to increased competitiveness in their bids.https://learning-analytics.info/journals/index.php/AJCEB/article/view/4653Construction procurementbiddinginformation feedbacklearning.
spellingShingle Bee Lan Oo
Florence Yean Yng Ling
Alexander Soo
Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
Construction Economics and Building
Construction procurement
bidding
information feedback
learning.
title Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
title_full Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
title_fullStr Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
title_full_unstemmed Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
title_short Construction Procurement: Modelling Bidders’ Learning in Recurrent Bidding
title_sort construction procurement modelling bidders learning in recurrent bidding
topic Construction procurement
bidding
information feedback
learning.
url https://learning-analytics.info/journals/index.php/AJCEB/article/view/4653
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