Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis

Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in Sweden. This study aims to assess the impact of a CVD intervention implemented in 1993 in northern Sweden on the reduction of premature ischemic heart disease (IHD) morbidity and mortality in women and m...

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Main Authors: Miguel San Sebastián, Paola A. Mosquera, Per E. Gustafsson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-02-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-6514-x
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author Miguel San Sebastián
Paola A. Mosquera
Per E. Gustafsson
author_facet Miguel San Sebastián
Paola A. Mosquera
Per E. Gustafsson
author_sort Miguel San Sebastián
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in Sweden. This study aims to assess the impact of a CVD intervention implemented in 1993 in northern Sweden on the reduction of premature ischemic heart disease (IHD) morbidity and mortality in women and men during the period 1987–2013. Methods An ecological controlled interrupted time series design, with pre-intervention period defined as 1987–1993 and post-intervention period 1994–2013 was carried out. For each year, IHD events, stratified by sex, were retrieved from national registers. Results Impressive reductions on IHD premature morbidity and mortality were observed to a similar degree in both the intervention county and the other comparison counties across the last 27 years. Significant differences in the pre-post intervention trends indicating the intervention group had smaller reductions than expected from its pre-intervention trend and the trend of control counties were found among men for both IHD morbidity and mortality. A similar pattern was observed among women but without significant differences. Conclusions Taken together, the data do not support that the intervention has contributed to an additional reduction on IHD morbidity and mortality, above and beyond that which is already seen in neighbouring counties without similar programs.
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spelling doaj.art-f0e489b851274aabb93692bed538bcf22022-12-21T17:17:54ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582019-02-0119111010.1186/s12889-019-6514-xDo cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysisMiguel San Sebastián0Paola A. Mosquera1Per E. Gustafsson2Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå UniversityAbstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in Sweden. This study aims to assess the impact of a CVD intervention implemented in 1993 in northern Sweden on the reduction of premature ischemic heart disease (IHD) morbidity and mortality in women and men during the period 1987–2013. Methods An ecological controlled interrupted time series design, with pre-intervention period defined as 1987–1993 and post-intervention period 1994–2013 was carried out. For each year, IHD events, stratified by sex, were retrieved from national registers. Results Impressive reductions on IHD premature morbidity and mortality were observed to a similar degree in both the intervention county and the other comparison counties across the last 27 years. Significant differences in the pre-post intervention trends indicating the intervention group had smaller reductions than expected from its pre-intervention trend and the trend of control counties were found among men for both IHD morbidity and mortality. A similar pattern was observed among women but without significant differences. Conclusions Taken together, the data do not support that the intervention has contributed to an additional reduction on IHD morbidity and mortality, above and beyond that which is already seen in neighbouring counties without similar programs.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-6514-xIschemic heart diseaseMorbidityMortalityInterrupted time series analysisInterventionNorthern Sweden
spellingShingle Miguel San Sebastián
Paola A. Mosquera
Per E. Gustafsson
Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
BMC Public Health
Ischemic heart disease
Morbidity
Mortality
Interrupted time series analysis
Intervention
Northern Sweden
title Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
title_full Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
title_fullStr Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
title_full_unstemmed Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
title_short Do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern Sweden impact on population health? An interrupted time series analysis
title_sort do cardiovascular disease prevention programs in northern sweden impact on population health an interrupted time series analysis
topic Ischemic heart disease
Morbidity
Mortality
Interrupted time series analysis
Intervention
Northern Sweden
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-6514-x
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