Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach

Predicting yield is essential for producers, stakeholders and international interchange demand. The majority of the divergence in yield and essential oil content is associated with environmental aspects, including weather conditions, soil variety and cultivation techniques. Therefore, aniseed produc...

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Main Authors: Lato Pezo, Biljana Lončar, Olja Šovljanski, Ana Tomić, Vanja Travičić, Milada Pezo, Milica Aćimović
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Life
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1722
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author Lato Pezo
Biljana Lončar
Olja Šovljanski
Ana Tomić
Vanja Travičić
Milada Pezo
Milica Aćimović
author_facet Lato Pezo
Biljana Lončar
Olja Šovljanski
Ana Tomić
Vanja Travičić
Milada Pezo
Milica Aćimović
author_sort Lato Pezo
collection DOAJ
description Predicting yield is essential for producers, stakeholders and international interchange demand. The majority of the divergence in yield and essential oil content is associated with environmental aspects, including weather conditions, soil variety and cultivation techniques. Therefore, aniseed production was examined in this study. The categorical input variables for artificial neural network modelling were growing year (two successive growing years), growing locality (three different locations in Vojvodina Province, Serbia) and fertilization type (six different treatments). The output variables were morphological and quality parameters, with agricultural importance such as plant height, umbel diameter, number of umbels, number of seeds per umbel, 1000-seed weight, seed yield per plant, plant weight, harvest index, yield per ha, essential oil (EO) yield, germination energy, total germination, EO content, as well as the share of EOs compounds, including limonene, <i>cis</i>-dihydro carvone, methyl chavicol, carvone, <i>cis</i>-anethole, <i>trans</i>-anethole, β-elemene, α-himachalene, <i>trans</i>-β-farnesene, γ-himachalene, <i>trans</i>-muurola-4(14),5-diene, α-zingiberene, β-himachalene, β-bisabolene, <i>trans</i>-pseudoisoeugenyl 2-methylbutyrate and epoxy-pseudoisoeugenyl 2-methylbutyrate. The ANN model predicted agricultural parameters accurately, showing r<sup>2</sup> values between 0.555 and 0.918, while r<sup>2</sup> values for the forecasting of essential oil content were between 0.379 and 0.908. According to global sensitivity analysis, the fertilization type was a more influential variable to agricultural parameters, while the location site was more influential to essential oils content.
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spelling doaj.art-f0fecd8d58cf46d2b7729cd79596bd262023-11-24T05:29:53ZengMDPI AGLife2075-17292022-10-011211172210.3390/life12111722Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network ApproachLato Pezo0Biljana Lončar1Olja Šovljanski2Ana Tomić3Vanja Travičić4Milada Pezo5Milica Aćimović6Institute of General and Physical Chemistry, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 12, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaFaculty of Technology Novi Sad, University of Novi Sad, Bulevar cara Lazara 1, 21000 Novi Sad, SerbiaFaculty of Technology Novi Sad, University of Novi Sad, Bulevar cara Lazara 1, 21000 Novi Sad, SerbiaFaculty of Technology Novi Sad, University of Novi Sad, Bulevar cara Lazara 1, 21000 Novi Sad, SerbiaFaculty of Technology Novi Sad, University of Novi Sad, Bulevar cara Lazara 1, 21000 Novi Sad, SerbiaDepartment of Thermal Engineering and Energy, “Vinča” Institute of Nuclear Sciences—National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 12, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaInstitute of Field and Vegetable Crops Novi Sad, Maksima Gorkog 30, 21000 Novi Sad, SerbiaPredicting yield is essential for producers, stakeholders and international interchange demand. The majority of the divergence in yield and essential oil content is associated with environmental aspects, including weather conditions, soil variety and cultivation techniques. Therefore, aniseed production was examined in this study. The categorical input variables for artificial neural network modelling were growing year (two successive growing years), growing locality (three different locations in Vojvodina Province, Serbia) and fertilization type (six different treatments). The output variables were morphological and quality parameters, with agricultural importance such as plant height, umbel diameter, number of umbels, number of seeds per umbel, 1000-seed weight, seed yield per plant, plant weight, harvest index, yield per ha, essential oil (EO) yield, germination energy, total germination, EO content, as well as the share of EOs compounds, including limonene, <i>cis</i>-dihydro carvone, methyl chavicol, carvone, <i>cis</i>-anethole, <i>trans</i>-anethole, β-elemene, α-himachalene, <i>trans</i>-β-farnesene, γ-himachalene, <i>trans</i>-muurola-4(14),5-diene, α-zingiberene, β-himachalene, β-bisabolene, <i>trans</i>-pseudoisoeugenyl 2-methylbutyrate and epoxy-pseudoisoeugenyl 2-methylbutyrate. The ANN model predicted agricultural parameters accurately, showing r<sup>2</sup> values between 0.555 and 0.918, while r<sup>2</sup> values for the forecasting of essential oil content were between 0.379 and 0.908. According to global sensitivity analysis, the fertilization type was a more influential variable to agricultural parameters, while the location site was more influential to essential oils content.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1722aniseedessential oilgrowing yearlocalityfertilizationartificial neural network
spellingShingle Lato Pezo
Biljana Lončar
Olja Šovljanski
Ana Tomić
Vanja Travičić
Milada Pezo
Milica Aćimović
Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
Life
aniseed
essential oil
growing year
locality
fertilization
artificial neural network
title Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
title_full Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
title_fullStr Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
title_full_unstemmed Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
title_short Agricultural Parameters and Essential Oil Content Composition Prediction of Aniseed, Based on Growing Year, Locality and Fertilization Type—An Artificial Neural Network Approach
title_sort agricultural parameters and essential oil content composition prediction of aniseed based on growing year locality and fertilization type an artificial neural network approach
topic aniseed
essential oil
growing year
locality
fertilization
artificial neural network
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/12/11/1722
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