SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK

Solar Energy is an important renewable and unlimited source of energy. Solar photovoltaic power forecasting, is an estimation of the expected power production, that help the grid operators to better manage the electric balance between power demand and supply. Neural network is a computational model...

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Main Authors: B. Jency Paulin, E. Praynlin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: ICT Academy of Tamil Nadu 2016-01-01
Series:ICTACT Journal on Soft Computing
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ictactjournals.in/paper/IJSC_Vol_6_Iss_2_paper_5_1144_1152.pdf
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author B. Jency Paulin
E. Praynlin
author_facet B. Jency Paulin
E. Praynlin
author_sort B. Jency Paulin
collection DOAJ
description Solar Energy is an important renewable and unlimited source of energy. Solar photovoltaic power forecasting, is an estimation of the expected power production, that help the grid operators to better manage the electric balance between power demand and supply. Neural network is a computational model that can predict new outcomes from past trends. The artificial neural network is used for photovoltaic plant energy forecasting. The output power for solar photovoltaic cell is predicted on hourly basis. In historical dataset collection process, two dataset was collected and used for analysis. The dataset was provided with three independent attributes and one dependent attributes. The implementation of Artificial Neural Network structure is done by Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and training procedure for neural network is done by error Back Propagation (BP). In order to train and test the neural network, the datasets are divided in the ratio 70:30. The accuracy of prediction can be done by using various error measurement criteria and the performance of neural network is to be noted.
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spelling doaj.art-f124452abaee4241b3aa09cc049317592022-12-22T01:30:04ZengICT Academy of Tamil NaduICTACT Journal on Soft Computing0976-65612229-69562016-01-016211441152SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORKB. Jency Paulin0E. Praynlin1V V College of Engineering, IndiaV V College of Engineering, IndiaSolar Energy is an important renewable and unlimited source of energy. Solar photovoltaic power forecasting, is an estimation of the expected power production, that help the grid operators to better manage the electric balance between power demand and supply. Neural network is a computational model that can predict new outcomes from past trends. The artificial neural network is used for photovoltaic plant energy forecasting. The output power for solar photovoltaic cell is predicted on hourly basis. In historical dataset collection process, two dataset was collected and used for analysis. The dataset was provided with three independent attributes and one dependent attributes. The implementation of Artificial Neural Network structure is done by Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and training procedure for neural network is done by error Back Propagation (BP). In order to train and test the neural network, the datasets are divided in the ratio 70:30. The accuracy of prediction can be done by using various error measurement criteria and the performance of neural network is to be noted.http://ictactjournals.in/paper/IJSC_Vol_6_Iss_2_paper_5_1144_1152.pdfEnergy ForecastingError Back Propagation (BP)
spellingShingle B. Jency Paulin
E. Praynlin
SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
ICTACT Journal on Soft Computing
Energy Forecasting
Error Back Propagation (BP)
title SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
title_full SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
title_fullStr SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
title_full_unstemmed SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
title_short SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC OUTPUT POWER FORECASTING USING BACK PROPAGATION NEURAL NETWORK
title_sort solar photovoltaic output power forecasting using back propagation neural network
topic Energy Forecasting
Error Back Propagation (BP)
url http://ictactjournals.in/paper/IJSC_Vol_6_Iss_2_paper_5_1144_1152.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT bjencypaulin solarphotovoltaicoutputpowerforecastingusingbackpropagationneuralnetwork
AT epraynlin solarphotovoltaicoutputpowerforecastingusingbackpropagationneuralnetwork