Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium

Abstract Most convection parameterization schemes used within current atmospheric models make a convective equilibrium assumption, which breaks at the resolutions currently used by many numerical weather prediction models. To account for fluctuations of the cloud base mass flux about its equilibrium...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: E. Machulskaya, A. Seifert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2019-08-01
Series:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001638
_version_ 1818913575272448000
author E. Machulskaya
A. Seifert
author_facet E. Machulskaya
A. Seifert
author_sort E. Machulskaya
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Most convection parameterization schemes used within current atmospheric models make a convective equilibrium assumption, which breaks at the resolutions currently used by many numerical weather prediction models. To account for fluctuations of the cloud base mass flux about its equilibrium value, stochastic convection schemes have been developed for both deep (Plant & Craig, 2008, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAS2263.1) and shallow (Sakradzija et al., 2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-22-65-2015) convection. Due to the need to explicitly track individual clouds in each grid box, these schemes can be computationally expensive. Motivated by the above considerations, the present study demonstrates how the machinery of the above schemes can be reduced to the solution of two ordinary stochastic differential equations for the cloud number and the total cloud base mass flux. The properties of the resulting stochastic processes for the cloud number and the total mass flux are not exactly equivalent to those of the original schemes but recover them to a very good approximation.
first_indexed 2024-12-19T23:32:40Z
format Article
id doaj.art-f1290b3e24a74969a41bd72b2cd1d93e
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1942-2466
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-19T23:32:40Z
publishDate 2019-08-01
publisher American Geophysical Union (AGU)
record_format Article
series Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
spelling doaj.art-f1290b3e24a74969a41bd72b2cd1d93e2022-12-21T20:01:41ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems1942-24662019-08-011182708272710.1029/2019MS001638Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the EquilibriumE. Machulskaya0A. Seifert1Deutscher Wetterdienst Offenbach‐am‐Main GermanyDeutscher Wetterdienst Offenbach‐am‐Main GermanyAbstract Most convection parameterization schemes used within current atmospheric models make a convective equilibrium assumption, which breaks at the resolutions currently used by many numerical weather prediction models. To account for fluctuations of the cloud base mass flux about its equilibrium value, stochastic convection schemes have been developed for both deep (Plant & Craig, 2008, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAS2263.1) and shallow (Sakradzija et al., 2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-22-65-2015) convection. Due to the need to explicitly track individual clouds in each grid box, these schemes can be computationally expensive. Motivated by the above considerations, the present study demonstrates how the machinery of the above schemes can be reduced to the solution of two ordinary stochastic differential equations for the cloud number and the total cloud base mass flux. The properties of the resulting stochastic processes for the cloud number and the total mass flux are not exactly equivalent to those of the original schemes but recover them to a very good approximation.https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001638stochastic convectionstochastic differential equationscoarse‐graining
spellingShingle E. Machulskaya
A. Seifert
Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
stochastic convection
stochastic differential equations
coarse‐graining
title Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
title_full Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
title_fullStr Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
title_short Stochastic Differential Equations for the Variability of Atmospheric Convection Fluctuating Around the Equilibrium
title_sort stochastic differential equations for the variability of atmospheric convection fluctuating around the equilibrium
topic stochastic convection
stochastic differential equations
coarse‐graining
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001638
work_keys_str_mv AT emachulskaya stochasticdifferentialequationsforthevariabilityofatmosphericconvectionfluctuatingaroundtheequilibrium
AT aseifert stochasticdifferentialequationsforthevariabilityofatmosphericconvectionfluctuatingaroundtheequilibrium