Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions

In the paper, an attempt is made to formulate a probabilistic framework for an assessment of risk to structures resulting from accidental vapour cloud explosions (VCEs). This framework is based on the general methodology known in the quantitative risk analysis as the classical Bayesian approach to r...

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Main Author: Egidijus R. Vaidogas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2002-06-01
Series:Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/9108
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author Egidijus R. Vaidogas
author_facet Egidijus R. Vaidogas
author_sort Egidijus R. Vaidogas
collection DOAJ
description In the paper, an attempt is made to formulate a probabilistic framework for an assessment of risk to structures resulting from accidental vapour cloud explosions (VCEs). This framework is based on the general methodology known in the quantitative risk analysis as the classical Bayesian approach to risk assessment. Attention is centred on the estimation of the annual probabilities of potential damages to structural systems exposed to dangers of VCEs. The paper sets up the mathematical problem of assessing risk to structures related to VCEs and, for the most part, contains discussion on the methodological tasks to be solved in this assessment. Frist Published Online: 30 Jul 2012
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spelling doaj.art-f13664de7a784c318adadecb6e54a8d32022-12-21T17:51:15ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityJournal of Civil Engineering and Management1392-37301822-36052002-06-018210.3846/13923730.2002.10531261Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosionsEgidijus R. Vaidogas0Dept of Concrete and Masonry Structures , Vilnius Gediminas Technical University , Saulėtekio al. 11, LT-2040 , Vilnius , LithuaniaIn the paper, an attempt is made to formulate a probabilistic framework for an assessment of risk to structures resulting from accidental vapour cloud explosions (VCEs). This framework is based on the general methodology known in the quantitative risk analysis as the classical Bayesian approach to risk assessment. Attention is centred on the estimation of the annual probabilities of potential damages to structural systems exposed to dangers of VCEs. The paper sets up the mathematical problem of assessing risk to structures related to VCEs and, for the most part, contains discussion on the methodological tasks to be solved in this assessment. Frist Published Online: 30 Jul 2012http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/9108riskexplosionstructurehazard functiondamageuncertainty
spellingShingle Egidijus R. Vaidogas
Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
Journal of Civil Engineering and Management
risk
explosion
structure
hazard function
damage
uncertainty
title Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
title_full Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
title_fullStr Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
title_short Probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
title_sort probabilistic framework for assessing risks to structures stemming from accidental explosions
topic risk
explosion
structure
hazard function
damage
uncertainty
url http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JCEM/article/view/9108
work_keys_str_mv AT egidijusrvaidogas probabilisticframeworkforassessingriskstostructuresstemmingfromaccidentalexplosions