Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic
Climate change is expected to influence the distribution and population dynamics of many insect pests, with potential severe impacts on forests. Spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L.) (Col.: Curculionidae, Scolytinae) is the most important forest insect pest in Europe whose development is strictly...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences
2011-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Forest Science |
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| Online Access: | https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201106-0002_geographical-variability-of-sprucebark-beetle-development-under-climate-change-in-the-czech-republic.php |
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| author | T. Hlásny L. Zajíčková M. Turčáni J. Holuša Z. Sitková |
| author_facet | T. Hlásny L. Zajíčková M. Turčáni J. Holuša Z. Sitková |
| author_sort | T. Hlásny |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change is expected to influence the distribution and population dynamics of many insect pests, with potential severe impacts on forests. Spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L.) (Col.: Curculionidae, Scolytinae) is the most important forest insect pest in Europe whose development is strictly regulated by air temperature. Therefore, climate change is anticipated to induce changes in the pest's distribution and development. We used the PHENIPS model to evaluate climate change impacts on the distribution and voltinism of spruce bark beetle in the Czech Republic. Two future time periods - 2025-2050 (near future) and 2075-2100 (distant future) - are addressed. The period 1961-1990 is used as the reference. We found that while a two-generation regime dominated in the Czech Republic in the reference period, significant three-generation regime regions are projected to appear in the near future. In the distant future, the three-generation regime can be expected to occur over all existing coniferous stands in the Czech Republic. The analysis of altitudinal shift of n-generation regime regions indicates noticeable expansion of Ips typographus development to higher elevations, leading for example to disappearance of one-generation regime regions in the distant future. Uncertainties and limitations of the presented findings are discussed as well. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:20:05Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f1754c87176646928e280e8b8dd7c4ee |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1212-4834 1805-935X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:20:05Z |
| publishDate | 2011-06-01 |
| publisher | Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Forest Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-f1754c87176646928e280e8b8dd7c4ee2023-02-23T03:42:16ZengCzech Academy of Agricultural SciencesJournal of Forest Science1212-48341805-935X2011-06-0157624224910.17221/104/2010-JFSjfs-201106-0002Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech RepublicT. Hlásny0L. Zajíčková1M. Turčáni2J. Holuša3Z. Sitková4National Forest Centre - Forest Research Institute Zvolen, Zvolen, SlovakiaFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicNational Forest Centre - Forest Research Institute Zvolen, Zvolen, SlovakiaClimate change is expected to influence the distribution and population dynamics of many insect pests, with potential severe impacts on forests. Spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L.) (Col.: Curculionidae, Scolytinae) is the most important forest insect pest in Europe whose development is strictly regulated by air temperature. Therefore, climate change is anticipated to induce changes in the pest's distribution and development. We used the PHENIPS model to evaluate climate change impacts on the distribution and voltinism of spruce bark beetle in the Czech Republic. Two future time periods - 2025-2050 (near future) and 2075-2100 (distant future) - are addressed. The period 1961-1990 is used as the reference. We found that while a two-generation regime dominated in the Czech Republic in the reference period, significant three-generation regime regions are projected to appear in the near future. In the distant future, the three-generation regime can be expected to occur over all existing coniferous stands in the Czech Republic. The analysis of altitudinal shift of n-generation regime regions indicates noticeable expansion of Ips typographus development to higher elevations, leading for example to disappearance of one-generation regime regions in the distant future. Uncertainties and limitations of the presented findings are discussed as well.https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201106-0002_geographical-variability-of-sprucebark-beetle-development-under-climate-change-in-the-czech-republic.phpbark beetle altitudinal shiftclimate change scenarioips typographus generationstemperature increase |
| spellingShingle | T. Hlásny L. Zajíčková M. Turčáni J. Holuša Z. Sitková Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic Journal of Forest Science bark beetle altitudinal shift climate change scenario ips typographus generations temperature increase |
| title | Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic |
| title_full | Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic |
| title_fullStr | Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic |
| title_full_unstemmed | Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic |
| title_short | Geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the Czech Republic |
| title_sort | geographical variability of sprucebark beetle development under climate change in the czech republic |
| topic | bark beetle altitudinal shift climate change scenario ips typographus generations temperature increase |
| url | https://jfs.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/jfs-201106-0002_geographical-variability-of-sprucebark-beetle-development-under-climate-change-in-the-czech-republic.php |
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