Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020

A fuel market is an important sector of the economy and fuel prices influence the prices of numerous products and services. This paper focuses on the analysis of the interrelationships between markets of fuels in the Visegrad Group (V4) countries. The research is based on weekly prices of Pb95 gasol...

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Main Authors: Anna Górska, Monika Krawiec
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6536
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author Anna Górska
Monika Krawiec
author_facet Anna Górska
Monika Krawiec
author_sort Anna Górska
collection DOAJ
description A fuel market is an important sector of the economy and fuel prices influence the prices of numerous products and services. This paper focuses on the analysis of the interrelationships between markets of fuels in the Visegrad Group (V4) countries. The research is based on weekly prices of Pb95 gasoline and diesel in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia observed from January 2016 through December 2020. After performing the preliminary statistical analysis, the long-term relationships between the prices of fuels are investigated through application of the cointegrated regression Durbin–Watson (CRDW) test. Next, Granger causality is tested to answer the question of whether changes in prices of fuels in separate V4 countries Granger-cause changes in prices of fuels in other V4 countries. The cointegration research uses logarithmic prices, whereas causality investigation is based on their first differences. The results reveal long-term relationships between the prices of Pb95 gasoline in the Czech Republic and prices in other V4 countries as well as Granger causality flowing from diesel price changes in Poland to diesel price changes in other V4 countries and bilateral causation between changes in the prices of Pb95 gasoline in Poland, Hungary and Slovakia.
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spelling doaj.art-f1aa378353494d229844b8e610235e182023-11-22T18:04:48ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-10-011420653610.3390/en14206536Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020Anna Górska0Monika Krawiec1Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Sciences-SGGW, Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, PolandDepartment of Econometrics and Statistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Sciences-SGGW, Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, PolandA fuel market is an important sector of the economy and fuel prices influence the prices of numerous products and services. This paper focuses on the analysis of the interrelationships between markets of fuels in the Visegrad Group (V4) countries. The research is based on weekly prices of Pb95 gasoline and diesel in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia observed from January 2016 through December 2020. After performing the preliminary statistical analysis, the long-term relationships between the prices of fuels are investigated through application of the cointegrated regression Durbin–Watson (CRDW) test. Next, Granger causality is tested to answer the question of whether changes in prices of fuels in separate V4 countries Granger-cause changes in prices of fuels in other V4 countries. The cointegration research uses logarithmic prices, whereas causality investigation is based on their first differences. The results reveal long-term relationships between the prices of Pb95 gasoline in the Czech Republic and prices in other V4 countries as well as Granger causality flowing from diesel price changes in Poland to diesel price changes in other V4 countries and bilateral causation between changes in the prices of Pb95 gasoline in Poland, Hungary and Slovakia.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6536Visegrad Group countriesfuelscointegrationGranger causality
spellingShingle Anna Górska
Monika Krawiec
Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
Energies
Visegrad Group countries
fuels
cointegration
Granger causality
title Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
title_full Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
title_fullStr Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
title_short Analysis of Interrelationships between Markets of Fuels in the Visegrad Group Countries from 2016 to 2020
title_sort analysis of interrelationships between markets of fuels in the visegrad group countries from 2016 to 2020
topic Visegrad Group countries
fuels
cointegration
Granger causality
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6536
work_keys_str_mv AT annagorska analysisofinterrelationshipsbetweenmarketsoffuelsinthevisegradgroupcountriesfrom2016to2020
AT monikakrawiec analysisofinterrelationshipsbetweenmarketsoffuelsinthevisegradgroupcountriesfrom2016to2020