An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities

This paper analyzed quarterly longitudinal data for 64,800 1 × 1 degree grids during 2000–2019 on sea surface temperatures, sea ice concentrations, and ocean surface current zonal and meridional velocities in the Northern and Southern hemispheres. The methodological framework addressed the processin...

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Main Authors: Alok Bhargava, Juan A. Echenique
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1854
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author Alok Bhargava
Juan A. Echenique
author_facet Alok Bhargava
Juan A. Echenique
author_sort Alok Bhargava
collection DOAJ
description This paper analyzed quarterly longitudinal data for 64,800 1 × 1 degree grids during 2000–2019 on sea surface temperatures, sea ice concentrations, and ocean surface current zonal and meridional velocities in the Northern and Southern hemispheres. The methodological framework addressed the processing of remote sensing signals, interdependence between sea surface temperatures and sea ice concentrations, and combining zonal and meridional velocities as the eddy kinetic energy. Dynamic and static random effects models were estimated by maximum likelihood and stepwise methods, respectively, taking into account the unobserved heterogeneity across grids. The main findings were that quarterly sea surface temperatures increased steadily in the Northern hemisphere, whereas cyclical patterns were apparent in Southern hemisphere; sea ice concentrations declined in both hemispheres. Second, sea surface temperatures were estimated with large negative coefficients in the models for sea ice concentrations for the hemispheres; previous sea ice concentrations were negatively associated with sea surface temperatures, indicating feedback loops. Third, sea surface temperatures were positively and significantly associated with eddy kinetic energy in Northern hemisphere. Overall, the results indicated the importance of reducing sea surface temperatures via reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and the dumping of pollutants into oceans for maintaining sea ice concentrations and enhancing global sustainability.
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spelling doaj.art-f1dcb0d3a1c54ad2b6a34fe3fe0bd7332023-11-24T15:55:28ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-12-011012185410.3390/jmse10121854An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current VelocitiesAlok Bhargava0Juan A. Echenique1School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USAGrossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY 10016, USAThis paper analyzed quarterly longitudinal data for 64,800 1 × 1 degree grids during 2000–2019 on sea surface temperatures, sea ice concentrations, and ocean surface current zonal and meridional velocities in the Northern and Southern hemispheres. The methodological framework addressed the processing of remote sensing signals, interdependence between sea surface temperatures and sea ice concentrations, and combining zonal and meridional velocities as the eddy kinetic energy. Dynamic and static random effects models were estimated by maximum likelihood and stepwise methods, respectively, taking into account the unobserved heterogeneity across grids. The main findings were that quarterly sea surface temperatures increased steadily in the Northern hemisphere, whereas cyclical patterns were apparent in Southern hemisphere; sea ice concentrations declined in both hemispheres. Second, sea surface temperatures were estimated with large negative coefficients in the models for sea ice concentrations for the hemispheres; previous sea ice concentrations were negatively associated with sea surface temperatures, indicating feedback loops. Third, sea surface temperatures were positively and significantly associated with eddy kinetic energy in Northern hemisphere. Overall, the results indicated the importance of reducing sea surface temperatures via reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and the dumping of pollutants into oceans for maintaining sea ice concentrations and enhancing global sustainability.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1854climate changesea surface temperaturessea ice concentrationsocean surface current velocitiesmaximum likelihood estimationmitigation policies
spellingShingle Alok Bhargava
Juan A. Echenique
An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
climate change
sea surface temperatures
sea ice concentrations
ocean surface current velocities
maximum likelihood estimation
mitigation policies
title An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
title_full An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
title_fullStr An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
title_full_unstemmed An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
title_short An Econometric Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures, Sea Ice Concentrations and Ocean Surface Current Velocities
title_sort econometric analysis of sea surface temperatures sea ice concentrations and ocean surface current velocities
topic climate change
sea surface temperatures
sea ice concentrations
ocean surface current velocities
maximum likelihood estimation
mitigation policies
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/12/1854
work_keys_str_mv AT alokbhargava aneconometricanalysisofseasurfacetemperaturesseaiceconcentrationsandoceansurfacecurrentvelocities
AT juanaechenique aneconometricanalysisofseasurfacetemperaturesseaiceconcentrationsandoceansurfacecurrentvelocities
AT alokbhargava econometricanalysisofseasurfacetemperaturesseaiceconcentrationsandoceansurfacecurrentvelocities
AT juanaechenique econometricanalysisofseasurfacetemperaturesseaiceconcentrationsandoceansurfacecurrentvelocities