Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory

In this article, three small private R&D intensive European entities have been used in a case study involving game theory combined with content analysis; in an attempt to identify an optimal investment strategy. A game theory matrix is constructed for each entity based on previous exposure of in...

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Main Author: Andreas Georgiou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Croatian Interdisciplinary Society 2023-08-01
Series:Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://indecs.eu/2023/indecs2023-pp514-532.pdf
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author Andreas Georgiou
author_facet Andreas Georgiou
author_sort Andreas Georgiou
collection DOAJ
description In this article, three small private R&D intensive European entities have been used in a case study involving game theory combined with content analysis; in an attempt to identify an optimal investment strategy. A game theory matrix is constructed for each entity based on previous exposure of investors to the entities’ capital sources. The basic concept is that the investment exposure’s size is affected by the capitalisation of internally generated intangible assets; in other words, investors consider capitalisation of intangible assets as a positive signal regarding the future economic benefits associated with the intangible asset, and as a result, they adjust their investment positions accordingly. The matrices aim to identify an optimal investment strategy in high-intensity R&D private micro entities. The game theory matrices are constructed using publicly available empirical data extracted from the financial statements of three R&D intensive private micro-entities. The game theory matrix attempts to estimate the effect of the managerial discretionary choice to capitalise or expense the development cost of internally generated intangible assets; the risk appetite of investors could be affected by the capitalisation signalling. The investment strategies are classified based on their risk in three categories. High risk is represented by equity, medium risk is represented by long-term debt and low risk is represented by short-term debt. The results of the game theory matrices indicate that if a potential investor was to select an investment strategy after the end of the investigated time frame, end of 2015 for one entity and 2016 for the other two, the dominant strategy would be a medium risk through long-term debt for Hudol limited and low risk for the other two. These dominant strategies are then evaluated ex-post by reviewing the financial positions of the entities according to the most recent financial statements and additional relevant documentation.
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spelling doaj.art-f2093d72ab664ceba7bc30027ab43a192023-09-23T21:41:56ZengCroatian Interdisciplinary SocietyInterdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems1334-46841334-46762023-08-01214514532Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game TheoryAndreas Georgiou0Babes Bolyai University, Cluj, Romania In this article, three small private R&D intensive European entities have been used in a case study involving game theory combined with content analysis; in an attempt to identify an optimal investment strategy. A game theory matrix is constructed for each entity based on previous exposure of investors to the entities’ capital sources. The basic concept is that the investment exposure’s size is affected by the capitalisation of internally generated intangible assets; in other words, investors consider capitalisation of intangible assets as a positive signal regarding the future economic benefits associated with the intangible asset, and as a result, they adjust their investment positions accordingly. The matrices aim to identify an optimal investment strategy in high-intensity R&D private micro entities. The game theory matrices are constructed using publicly available empirical data extracted from the financial statements of three R&D intensive private micro-entities. The game theory matrix attempts to estimate the effect of the managerial discretionary choice to capitalise or expense the development cost of internally generated intangible assets; the risk appetite of investors could be affected by the capitalisation signalling. The investment strategies are classified based on their risk in three categories. High risk is represented by equity, medium risk is represented by long-term debt and low risk is represented by short-term debt. The results of the game theory matrices indicate that if a potential investor was to select an investment strategy after the end of the investigated time frame, end of 2015 for one entity and 2016 for the other two, the dominant strategy would be a medium risk through long-term debt for Hudol limited and low risk for the other two. These dominant strategies are then evaluated ex-post by reviewing the financial positions of the entities according to the most recent financial statements and additional relevant documentation.https://indecs.eu/2023/indecs2023-pp514-532.pdfintangiblesinvestmentstrategymatricesr&dcapitalisation
spellingShingle Andreas Georgiou
Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems
intangibles
investment
strategy
matrices
r&d
capitalisation
title Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
title_full Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
title_fullStr Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
title_full_unstemmed Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
title_short Optimising Investment Decisions in R&D Intensive Private Micro-Entities Using Game Theory
title_sort optimising investment decisions in r d intensive private micro entities using game theory
topic intangibles
investment
strategy
matrices
r&d
capitalisation
url https://indecs.eu/2023/indecs2023-pp514-532.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT andreasgeorgiou optimisinginvestmentdecisionsinrdintensiveprivatemicroentitiesusinggametheory