Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna

<p>Fallout of ballistic blocks and bombs ejected from eruptive vents represents a well-known hazard in areas proximal to volcanoes (mostly <span class="inline-formula">&lt;5</span>&thinsp;km from the vent). However, fallout of large clasts sedimenting from plume m...

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Main Authors: S. Osman, E. Rossi, C. Bonadonna, C. Frischknecht, D. Andronico, R. Cioni, S. Scollo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-03-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/589/2019/nhess-19-589-2019.pdf
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author S. Osman
E. Rossi
C. Bonadonna
C. Frischknecht
D. Andronico
R. Cioni
S. Scollo
author_facet S. Osman
E. Rossi
C. Bonadonna
C. Frischknecht
D. Andronico
R. Cioni
S. Scollo
author_sort S. Osman
collection DOAJ
description <p>Fallout of ballistic blocks and bombs ejected from eruptive vents represents a well-known hazard in areas proximal to volcanoes (mostly <span class="inline-formula">&lt;5</span>&thinsp;km from the vent). However, fallout of large clasts sedimenting from plume margins that extend to medial areas and have the potential to produce severe injuries to people and cause damage to infrastructure, is often overlooked. Recent eruptive events at Mount Etna (Italy) provide a clear example where large-clast fallout from plume margins (<span class="inline-formula"><i>&gt;</i>5</span>&thinsp;cm) has posed a real threat both to the many visitors reaching the summit area and to local infrastructure, and, therefore, has been selected as a case study. To quantify this hazard, a new particle sedimentation model was calibrated with field data and then used for probabilistic hazard assessments. For a fully probabilistic scenario the hazard zone covered 72&thinsp;km<span class="inline-formula"><sup>2</sup></span> and included some 125&thinsp;km of paths and roads, as well as 15 buildings. Evacuation on foot to a safe area was estimated at almost 4&thinsp;h, but this could be reduced to less than 3&thinsp;h if two shelters were provided. Our results show the importance of integrating probabilistic hazard analysis of large-clast fallout within effective strategies of risk management and reduction, especially in the case of volcanoes where visitors can reach the summit areas.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-f21b4d4b9eda4a3a803534fced9078632022-12-22T03:35:34ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812019-03-011958961010.5194/nhess-19-589-2019Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount EtnaS. Osman0E. Rossi1C. Bonadonna2C. Frischknecht3D. Andronico4R. Cioni5S. Scollo6School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Portsmouth, Burnaby Road, Portsmouth PO1 3QL, UKDépartement des Sciences de la Terre, Université de Genève, 13, Rue des Maraîchers, 1205 Geneva, SwitzerlandDépartement des Sciences de la Terre, Université de Genève, 13, Rue des Maraîchers, 1205 Geneva, SwitzerlandDépartement des Sciences de la Terre, Université de Genève, 13, Rue des Maraîchers, 1205 Geneva, SwitzerlandIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Etneo, Piazza Roma 2, 95125 Catania, ItalyDipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Firenze, Via G. La Pira 4, 50121 Florence, ItalyIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Etneo, Piazza Roma 2, 95125 Catania, Italy<p>Fallout of ballistic blocks and bombs ejected from eruptive vents represents a well-known hazard in areas proximal to volcanoes (mostly <span class="inline-formula">&lt;5</span>&thinsp;km from the vent). However, fallout of large clasts sedimenting from plume margins that extend to medial areas and have the potential to produce severe injuries to people and cause damage to infrastructure, is often overlooked. Recent eruptive events at Mount Etna (Italy) provide a clear example where large-clast fallout from plume margins (<span class="inline-formula"><i>&gt;</i>5</span>&thinsp;cm) has posed a real threat both to the many visitors reaching the summit area and to local infrastructure, and, therefore, has been selected as a case study. To quantify this hazard, a new particle sedimentation model was calibrated with field data and then used for probabilistic hazard assessments. For a fully probabilistic scenario the hazard zone covered 72&thinsp;km<span class="inline-formula"><sup>2</sup></span> and included some 125&thinsp;km of paths and roads, as well as 15 buildings. Evacuation on foot to a safe area was estimated at almost 4&thinsp;h, but this could be reduced to less than 3&thinsp;h if two shelters were provided. Our results show the importance of integrating probabilistic hazard analysis of large-clast fallout within effective strategies of risk management and reduction, especially in the case of volcanoes where visitors can reach the summit areas.</p>https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/589/2019/nhess-19-589-2019.pdf
spellingShingle S. Osman
E. Rossi
C. Bonadonna
C. Frischknecht
D. Andronico
R. Cioni
S. Scollo
Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
title Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
title_full Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
title_fullStr Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
title_full_unstemmed Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
title_short Exposure-based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at Mount Etna
title_sort exposure based risk assessment and emergency management associated with the fallout of large clasts at mount etna
url https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/589/2019/nhess-19-589-2019.pdf
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