Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market

In this study, the parameters of chaos are analyzed for the leading emerging stock markets: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and Turkey (BRIC-T). As chaos has properties such as nonlinearity, sensitivity to initial conditions, and fractality, we performed different methods to identify the existence of...

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Main Author: Samet Günay
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2015-04-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1051
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author Samet Günay
author_facet Samet Günay
author_sort Samet Günay
collection DOAJ
description In this study, the parameters of chaos are analyzed for the leading emerging stock markets: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and Turkey (BRIC-T). As chaos has properties such as nonlinearity, sensitivity to initial conditions, and fractality, we performed different methods to identify the existence of the chaos in stock index returns of the BRIC-T countries, using the Brock-Dechert-Scheinkman (BDS) test, the Largest Lyapunov exponent and the Box-Counting method. Although there is widespread interest in chaos in finance theory, previous studies have neglected the long memory issue in their filtering model of nonlinear behaviors. Due to the fact that the Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis and Smith’s (2005) modified GPH test indicated long memory in the index returns, we filtered the linear structure of the returns using the methods (ARFIMA, FIGARCH, FIEGARCH) which take long memory into account. Though the results have some significant evidence of chaos, the findings are too weak to support the presence of chaos in the stock markets of BRIC-T countries. Keywords: Chaos, Fractals; Largest Lyapunov exponent; BDS Test; Fractal Dimension JEL Classifications: C14; C22; G10
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spelling doaj.art-f254a400d26b4c0e825f60895b77d98e2023-02-15T16:09:38ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382015-04-0152Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock MarketSamet Günay0Assistant Professor of Finance Department of Banking and Finance, School of Applied Sciences, Istanbul Arel University In this study, the parameters of chaos are analyzed for the leading emerging stock markets: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and Turkey (BRIC-T). As chaos has properties such as nonlinearity, sensitivity to initial conditions, and fractality, we performed different methods to identify the existence of the chaos in stock index returns of the BRIC-T countries, using the Brock-Dechert-Scheinkman (BDS) test, the Largest Lyapunov exponent and the Box-Counting method. Although there is widespread interest in chaos in finance theory, previous studies have neglected the long memory issue in their filtering model of nonlinear behaviors. Due to the fact that the Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis and Smith’s (2005) modified GPH test indicated long memory in the index returns, we filtered the linear structure of the returns using the methods (ARFIMA, FIGARCH, FIEGARCH) which take long memory into account. Though the results have some significant evidence of chaos, the findings are too weak to support the presence of chaos in the stock markets of BRIC-T countries. Keywords: Chaos, Fractals; Largest Lyapunov exponent; BDS Test; Fractal Dimension JEL Classifications: C14; C22; G10 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1051
spellingShingle Samet Günay
Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
title_full Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
title_fullStr Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
title_full_unstemmed Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
title_short Chaotic Structure of the BRIC Countries and Turkey's Stock Market
title_sort chaotic structure of the bric countries and turkey s stock market
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1051
work_keys_str_mv AT sametgunay chaoticstructureofthebriccountriesandturkeysstockmarket