Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning

Abstract Cities have been extensively studied as complex adaptive systems over the last 50 years. Recently, several empirical studies and emerging theory provided support for the fact that many different urban indicators follow general consistent statistical patterns across countries, cultures and t...

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Main Authors: Talia Kaufmann, Laura Radaelli, Luis M. A. Bettencourt, Erez Shmueli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-09-01
Series:EPJ Data Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00362-6
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author Talia Kaufmann
Laura Radaelli
Luis M. A. Bettencourt
Erez Shmueli
author_facet Talia Kaufmann
Laura Radaelli
Luis M. A. Bettencourt
Erez Shmueli
author_sort Talia Kaufmann
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cities have been extensively studied as complex adaptive systems over the last 50 years. Recently, several empirical studies and emerging theory provided support for the fact that many different urban indicators follow general consistent statistical patterns across countries, cultures and times. In particular, total personal income, measures of innovation, crime rates, characteristics of the built environment and other indicators have been shown to exhibit non-linear power-law scaling with the population size of functional cities. Here, we show how to apply this type of analysis inside cities to establish universal patterns in the quantity and distribution of urban amenities such as restaurants, parks, and universities. Using a unique data set containing millions of amenities in the 50 largest US metropolitan areas, we establish general non-linear scaling patterns between each city’s population and many different amenities types, the small-area statistics of their spatial abundance, and the characteristics of their mean distance to each other. We use these size-specific statistical findings to produce generative models for the expected amenity abundances of any US city. We then compute the deviations observed in given cities from this statistical many-amenity model to build a characteristic signature for each urban area. Finally, we show how urban planning can be guided by these systemic quantitative expectations in the context of new city design or the identification of local deficits in service provision in existing cities.
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spelling doaj.art-f263a0c9df354d61ae32ab461702af912022-12-22T04:24:04ZengSpringerOpenEPJ Data Science2193-11272022-09-0111111910.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00362-6Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planningTalia Kaufmann0Laura Radaelli1Luis M. A. Bettencourt2Erez Shmueli3School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs, Northeastern UniversityDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Tel-Aviv UniversityMansueto Institute for Urban Innovation, Department of Ecology & Evolution, Department of Sociology, University of ChicagoDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Tel-Aviv UniversityAbstract Cities have been extensively studied as complex adaptive systems over the last 50 years. Recently, several empirical studies and emerging theory provided support for the fact that many different urban indicators follow general consistent statistical patterns across countries, cultures and times. In particular, total personal income, measures of innovation, crime rates, characteristics of the built environment and other indicators have been shown to exhibit non-linear power-law scaling with the population size of functional cities. Here, we show how to apply this type of analysis inside cities to establish universal patterns in the quantity and distribution of urban amenities such as restaurants, parks, and universities. Using a unique data set containing millions of amenities in the 50 largest US metropolitan areas, we establish general non-linear scaling patterns between each city’s population and many different amenities types, the small-area statistics of their spatial abundance, and the characteristics of their mean distance to each other. We use these size-specific statistical findings to produce generative models for the expected amenity abundances of any US city. We then compute the deviations observed in given cities from this statistical many-amenity model to build a characteristic signature for each urban area. Finally, we show how urban planning can be guided by these systemic quantitative expectations in the context of new city design or the identification of local deficits in service provision in existing cities.https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00362-6Land useService provisionSpatial statisticsUrban analyticsPlanning support systems
spellingShingle Talia Kaufmann
Laura Radaelli
Luis M. A. Bettencourt
Erez Shmueli
Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
EPJ Data Science
Land use
Service provision
Spatial statistics
Urban analytics
Planning support systems
title Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
title_full Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
title_fullStr Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
title_full_unstemmed Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
title_short Scaling of urban amenities: generative statistics and implications for urban planning
title_sort scaling of urban amenities generative statistics and implications for urban planning
topic Land use
Service provision
Spatial statistics
Urban analytics
Planning support systems
url https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-022-00362-6
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AT erezshmueli scalingofurbanamenitiesgenerativestatisticsandimplicationsforurbanplanning