Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques

Background: Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM) is a widespread chronic disease in industrialized countries. Preventing blood glucose levels from exceeding the euglycaemic range would reduce the incidence of diabetes-related complications and improve the quality of life of subjects with T1DM. As a conse...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Benedetta De Paoli, Federico D’Antoni, Mario Merone, Silvia Pieralice, Vincenzo Piemonte, Paolo Pozzilli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-05-01
Series:Bioengineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5354/8/6/72
_version_ 1797532629937946624
author Benedetta De Paoli
Federico D’Antoni
Mario Merone
Silvia Pieralice
Vincenzo Piemonte
Paolo Pozzilli
author_facet Benedetta De Paoli
Federico D’Antoni
Mario Merone
Silvia Pieralice
Vincenzo Piemonte
Paolo Pozzilli
author_sort Benedetta De Paoli
collection DOAJ
description Background: Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM) is a widespread chronic disease in industrialized countries. Preventing blood glucose levels from exceeding the euglycaemic range would reduce the incidence of diabetes-related complications and improve the quality of life of subjects with T1DM. As a consequence, in the last decade, many Machine Learning algorithms aiming to forecast future blood glucose levels have been proposed. Despite the excellent performance they obtained, the prediction of abrupt changes in blood glucose values produced during physical activity (PA) is still one of the main challenges. Methods: A Jump Neural Network was developed in order to overcome the issue of predicting blood glucose values during PA. Three learning configurations were developed and tested: offline training, online training, and online training with reinforcement. All configurations were tested on six subjects suffering from T1DM that held regular PA (three aerobic and three anaerobic) and exploited Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM). Results: The forecasting performance was evaluated in terms of the Root-Mean-Squared-Error (RMSE), according to a paradigm of Precision Medicine. Conclusions: The online learning configurations performed better than the offline configuration in total days but not on the only CGM associated with the PA; thus, the results do not justify the increased computational burden because the improvement was not significant.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T11:01:59Z
format Article
id doaj.art-f290eb5007e74df4a09b5e6a0dc72857
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2306-5354
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T11:01:59Z
publishDate 2021-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Bioengineering
spelling doaj.art-f290eb5007e74df4a09b5e6a0dc728572023-11-21T21:28:06ZengMDPI AGBioengineering2306-53542021-05-01867210.3390/bioengineering8060072Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning TechniquesBenedetta De Paoli0Federico D’Antoni1Mario Merone2Silvia Pieralice3Vincenzo Piemonte4Paolo Pozzilli5Unit of Computer Systems and Bioinformatics, Department of Engineering, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyUnit of Computer Systems and Bioinformatics, Department of Engineering, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyUnit of Computer Systems and Bioinformatics, Department of Engineering, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyUnit of Diabetology and Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyUnit of Chemical Engineering, Department of Engineering, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyUnit of Diabetology and Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, 00128 Rome, ItalyBackground: Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM) is a widespread chronic disease in industrialized countries. Preventing blood glucose levels from exceeding the euglycaemic range would reduce the incidence of diabetes-related complications and improve the quality of life of subjects with T1DM. As a consequence, in the last decade, many Machine Learning algorithms aiming to forecast future blood glucose levels have been proposed. Despite the excellent performance they obtained, the prediction of abrupt changes in blood glucose values produced during physical activity (PA) is still one of the main challenges. Methods: A Jump Neural Network was developed in order to overcome the issue of predicting blood glucose values during PA. Three learning configurations were developed and tested: offline training, online training, and online training with reinforcement. All configurations were tested on six subjects suffering from T1DM that held regular PA (three aerobic and three anaerobic) and exploited Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM). Results: The forecasting performance was evaluated in terms of the Root-Mean-Squared-Error (RMSE), according to a paradigm of Precision Medicine. Conclusions: The online learning configurations performed better than the offline configuration in total days but not on the only CGM associated with the PA; thus, the results do not justify the increased computational burden because the improvement was not significant.https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5354/8/6/72diabetestime series forecastingonline learningphysical activityprecision medicineneural network
spellingShingle Benedetta De Paoli
Federico D’Antoni
Mario Merone
Silvia Pieralice
Vincenzo Piemonte
Paolo Pozzilli
Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
Bioengineering
diabetes
time series forecasting
online learning
physical activity
precision medicine
neural network
title Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
title_full Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
title_fullStr Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
title_short Blood Glucose Level Forecasting on Type-1-Diabetes Subjects during Physical Activity: A Comparative Analysis of Different Learning Techniques
title_sort blood glucose level forecasting on type 1 diabetes subjects during physical activity a comparative analysis of different learning techniques
topic diabetes
time series forecasting
online learning
physical activity
precision medicine
neural network
url https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5354/8/6/72
work_keys_str_mv AT benedettadepaoli bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques
AT federicodantoni bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques
AT mariomerone bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques
AT silviapieralice bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques
AT vincenzopiemonte bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques
AT paolopozzilli bloodglucoselevelforecastingontype1diabetessubjectsduringphysicalactivityacomparativeanalysisofdifferentlearningtechniques