Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity

Purpose – This study proposes spatial origin-destination threshold Tobit to address spatial interdependence among bilateral trade flows while accounting for zero trade volumes. Design/methodology/approach – This model is designed to capture multiple forms of spatial autocorrelation embedded in “dire...

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Main Authors: Shali Luo, Seung-Whan Choi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2022-09-01
Series:International Trade, Politics and Development
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/ITPD-06-2022-0009/full/pdf
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author Shali Luo
Seung-Whan Choi
author_facet Shali Luo
Seung-Whan Choi
author_sort Shali Luo
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – This study proposes spatial origin-destination threshold Tobit to address spatial interdependence among bilateral trade flows while accounting for zero trade volumes. Design/methodology/approach – This model is designed to capture multiple forms of spatial autocorrelation embedded in “directional” trade flows. The authors apply this improved model to export flows among 32 Asian countries in 1990. Findings – The empirical results indicate the presence of all three types of spatial dependence: exporter-based, importer-based and exporter-to-importer-based. After further considering multifaceted spatial correlation in bilateral trade flows, the authors find that the effect of conventional trade variables changes in a noticeable way. Research limitations/implications – This finding implies that the standard gravity model may produce biased estimates if it does not take spatial dependence into account. Originality/value – This paper attempts to offer an improved model of the standard gravity model by taking spatial dependence into account.
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spelling doaj.art-f3645cd3254348228fbf8af17cf680342023-07-03T09:15:32ZengEmerald PublishingInternational Trade, Politics and Development2586-39322632-122X2022-09-0162466010.1108/ITPD-06-2022-0009Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravityShali Luo0Seung-Whan Choi1Department of Economics, University of Missouri Columbia, Columbia, Missouri, USADepartment of Political Science, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USAPurpose – This study proposes spatial origin-destination threshold Tobit to address spatial interdependence among bilateral trade flows while accounting for zero trade volumes. Design/methodology/approach – This model is designed to capture multiple forms of spatial autocorrelation embedded in “directional” trade flows. The authors apply this improved model to export flows among 32 Asian countries in 1990. Findings – The empirical results indicate the presence of all three types of spatial dependence: exporter-based, importer-based and exporter-to-importer-based. After further considering multifaceted spatial correlation in bilateral trade flows, the authors find that the effect of conventional trade variables changes in a noticeable way. Research limitations/implications – This finding implies that the standard gravity model may produce biased estimates if it does not take spatial dependence into account. Originality/value – This paper attempts to offer an improved model of the standard gravity model by taking spatial dependence into account.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/ITPD-06-2022-0009/full/pdfTradeSpatial dependenceTobit
spellingShingle Shali Luo
Seung-Whan Choi
Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
International Trade, Politics and Development
Trade
Spatial dependence
Tobit
title Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
title_full Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
title_fullStr Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
title_full_unstemmed Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
title_short Do trade flows interact in space? Spatial origin-destination modeling of gravity
title_sort do trade flows interact in space spatial origin destination modeling of gravity
topic Trade
Spatial dependence
Tobit
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/ITPD-06-2022-0009/full/pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT shaliluo dotradeflowsinteractinspacespatialorigindestinationmodelingofgravity
AT seungwhanchoi dotradeflowsinteractinspacespatialorigindestinationmodelingofgravity