A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems

Disaster management systems require accurate disaster monitoring and prediction services to reduce damages caused by natural disasters. Digital twins of natural environments can provide the services for the systems with physics-based and data-driven disaster models. However, the digital twins might...

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Main Authors: Seong-Jin Yun, Jin-Woo Kwon, Won-Tae Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-06-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/13/4774
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author Seong-Jin Yun
Jin-Woo Kwon
Won-Tae Kim
author_facet Seong-Jin Yun
Jin-Woo Kwon
Won-Tae Kim
author_sort Seong-Jin Yun
collection DOAJ
description Disaster management systems require accurate disaster monitoring and prediction services to reduce damages caused by natural disasters. Digital twins of natural environments can provide the services for the systems with physics-based and data-driven disaster models. However, the digital twins might generate erroneous disaster prediction due to the impracticability of defining high-fidelity physics-based models for complex natural disaster behavior and the dependency of data-driven models on the training dataset. This causes disaster management systems to inappropriately use disaster response resources, including medical personnel, rescue equipment and relief supplies, to ensure that it may increase the damages from the natural disasters. This study proposes a digital twin architecture to provide accurate disaster prediction services with a similarity-based hybrid modeling scheme. The hybrid modeling scheme creates a hybrid disaster model that compensates for the errors of physics-based prediction results with a data-driven error correction model to enhance the prediction accuracy. The similarity-based hybrid modeling scheme reduces errors from the data dependency of the hybrid model by constructing a training dataset using similarity assessments between the target disaster and the historical disasters. Evaluations in wildfire scenarios show that the digital twin decreases prediction errors by approximately 50% compared with those of the existing schemes.
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spelling doaj.art-f365e5504da14266acb3720f1995f9872023-11-30T22:25:02ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202022-06-012213477410.3390/s22134774A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management SystemsSeong-Jin Yun0Jin-Woo Kwon1Won-Tae Kim2Future Convergence Engineering Major, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Korea University of Technology and Education, Cheonan 31253, KoreaFuture Convergence Engineering Major, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Korea University of Technology and Education, Cheonan 31253, KoreaFuture Convergence Engineering Major, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Korea University of Technology and Education, Cheonan 31253, KoreaDisaster management systems require accurate disaster monitoring and prediction services to reduce damages caused by natural disasters. Digital twins of natural environments can provide the services for the systems with physics-based and data-driven disaster models. However, the digital twins might generate erroneous disaster prediction due to the impracticability of defining high-fidelity physics-based models for complex natural disaster behavior and the dependency of data-driven models on the training dataset. This causes disaster management systems to inappropriately use disaster response resources, including medical personnel, rescue equipment and relief supplies, to ensure that it may increase the damages from the natural disasters. This study proposes a digital twin architecture to provide accurate disaster prediction services with a similarity-based hybrid modeling scheme. The hybrid modeling scheme creates a hybrid disaster model that compensates for the errors of physics-based prediction results with a data-driven error correction model to enhance the prediction accuracy. The similarity-based hybrid modeling scheme reduces errors from the data dependency of the hybrid model by constructing a training dataset using similarity assessments between the target disaster and the historical disasters. Evaluations in wildfire scenarios show that the digital twin decreases prediction errors by approximately 50% compared with those of the existing schemes.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/13/4774digital twinhybrid modelingdisaster spread simulationdisaster predictionwildfire spread simulation
spellingShingle Seong-Jin Yun
Jin-Woo Kwon
Won-Tae Kim
A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
Sensors
digital twin
hybrid modeling
disaster spread simulation
disaster prediction
wildfire spread simulation
title A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
title_full A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
title_fullStr A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
title_short A Novel Digital Twin Architecture with Similarity-Based Hybrid Modeling for Supporting Dependable Disaster Management Systems
title_sort novel digital twin architecture with similarity based hybrid modeling for supporting dependable disaster management systems
topic digital twin
hybrid modeling
disaster spread simulation
disaster prediction
wildfire spread simulation
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/22/13/4774
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