Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function
The cumulative displacement-time curve is the most common and direct method used to predict the deformation trends of landslides and divide the deformation stages. A new method based on the inverse logistic function considering inverse distance weighting (IDW) is proposed to predict the displacement...
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MDPI AG
2021-02-01
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/1091 |
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author | Liulei Bao Guangcheng Zhang Xinli Hu Shuangshuang Wu Xiangdong Liu |
author_facet | Liulei Bao Guangcheng Zhang Xinli Hu Shuangshuang Wu Xiangdong Liu |
author_sort | Liulei Bao |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The cumulative displacement-time curve is the most common and direct method used to predict the deformation trends of landslides and divide the deformation stages. A new method based on the inverse logistic function considering inverse distance weighting (IDW) is proposed to predict the displacement of landslides, and the quantitative standards of dividing the deformation stages and determining the critical sliding time are put forward. The proposed method is applied in some landslide cases according to the displacement monitoring data and shows that the new method is effective. Moreover, long-term displacement predictions are applied in two landslides. Finally, summarized with the application in other landslide cases, the value of displacement acceleration, 0.9 mm/day<sup>2</sup>, is suggested as the first early warning standard of sliding, and the fitting function of the acceleration rate with the volume or length of landslide can be considered the secondary critical threshold function of landslide failure. |
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format | Article |
id | doaj.art-f3718b74ca604b2a88d9ba559babedb3 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1996-1073 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-09T00:44:15Z |
publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
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series | Energies |
spelling | doaj.art-f3718b74ca604b2a88d9ba559babedb32023-12-11T17:38:57ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-02-01144109110.3390/en14041091Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic FunctionLiulei Bao0Guangcheng Zhang1Xinli Hu2Shuangshuang Wu3Xiangdong Liu4Faculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaFaculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaFaculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaFaculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaFaculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, ChinaThe cumulative displacement-time curve is the most common and direct method used to predict the deformation trends of landslides and divide the deformation stages. A new method based on the inverse logistic function considering inverse distance weighting (IDW) is proposed to predict the displacement of landslides, and the quantitative standards of dividing the deformation stages and determining the critical sliding time are put forward. The proposed method is applied in some landslide cases according to the displacement monitoring data and shows that the new method is effective. Moreover, long-term displacement predictions are applied in two landslides. Finally, summarized with the application in other landslide cases, the value of displacement acceleration, 0.9 mm/day<sup>2</sup>, is suggested as the first early warning standard of sliding, and the fitting function of the acceleration rate with the volume or length of landslide can be considered the secondary critical threshold function of landslide failure.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/1091displacement-time curvethe deformation stage divisioncritical sliding predictioninverse logistic curveinverse distance weighted |
spellingShingle | Liulei Bao Guangcheng Zhang Xinli Hu Shuangshuang Wu Xiangdong Liu Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function Energies displacement-time curve the deformation stage division critical sliding prediction inverse logistic curve inverse distance weighted |
title | Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function |
title_full | Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function |
title_fullStr | Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function |
title_full_unstemmed | Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function |
title_short | Stage Division of Landslide Deformation and Prediction of Critical Sliding Based on Inverse Logistic Function |
title_sort | stage division of landslide deformation and prediction of critical sliding based on inverse logistic function |
topic | displacement-time curve the deformation stage division critical sliding prediction inverse logistic curve inverse distance weighted |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/1091 |
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