A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling

We investigate the dynamics of systemic risk of European companies using an approach that merges paradigmatic risk measures such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, CoVaR, and Delta CoVaR, with a Bayesian entropy estimation method. Our purpose is to bring to light potential spillover effects of the entr...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Radu Lupu, Adrian Cantemir Călin, Cristina Georgiana Zeldea, Iulia Lupu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/12/1371
_version_ 1827700795654537216
author Radu Lupu
Adrian Cantemir Călin
Cristina Georgiana Zeldea
Iulia Lupu
author_facet Radu Lupu
Adrian Cantemir Călin
Cristina Georgiana Zeldea
Iulia Lupu
author_sort Radu Lupu
collection DOAJ
description We investigate the dynamics of systemic risk of European companies using an approach that merges paradigmatic risk measures such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, CoVaR, and Delta CoVaR, with a Bayesian entropy estimation method. Our purpose is to bring to light potential spillover effects of the entropy indicator for the systemic risk measures computed on the 24 sectors that compose the STOXX 600 index. Our results show that several sectors have a high proclivity for generating spillovers. In general, the largest influences are delivered by Capital Goods, Banks, Diversified Financials, Insurance, and Real Estate. We also bring detailed evidence on the sectors that are the most pregnable to spillovers and on those that represent the main contributors of spillovers.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T14:18:58Z
format Article
id doaj.art-f37706e91acd43eb81804fbe6186f0b0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1099-4300
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T14:18:58Z
publishDate 2020-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Entropy
spelling doaj.art-f37706e91acd43eb81804fbe6186f0b02023-11-20T23:34:29ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002020-12-012212137110.3390/e22121371A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk ModelingRadu Lupu0Adrian Cantemir Călin1Cristina Georgiana Zeldea2Iulia Lupu3Department of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, RomaniaDepartment of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, RomaniaDepartment of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, Romania“Victor Slăvescu” Centre for Financial and Monetary Research, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, RomaniaWe investigate the dynamics of systemic risk of European companies using an approach that merges paradigmatic risk measures such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, CoVaR, and Delta CoVaR, with a Bayesian entropy estimation method. Our purpose is to bring to light potential spillover effects of the entropy indicator for the systemic risk measures computed on the 24 sectors that compose the STOXX 600 index. Our results show that several sectors have a high proclivity for generating spillovers. In general, the largest influences are delivered by Capital Goods, Banks, Diversified Financials, Insurance, and Real Estate. We also bring detailed evidence on the sectors that are the most pregnable to spillovers and on those that represent the main contributors of spillovers.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/12/1371systemic risk measurementspilloversentropy measuresBayesian inferenceeconomic sectors
spellingShingle Radu Lupu
Adrian Cantemir Călin
Cristina Georgiana Zeldea
Iulia Lupu
A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
Entropy
systemic risk measurement
spillovers
entropy measures
Bayesian inference
economic sectors
title A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
title_full A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
title_fullStr A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
title_full_unstemmed A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
title_short A Bayesian Entropy Approach to Sectoral Systemic Risk Modeling
title_sort bayesian entropy approach to sectoral systemic risk modeling
topic systemic risk measurement
spillovers
entropy measures
Bayesian inference
economic sectors
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/12/1371
work_keys_str_mv AT radulupu abayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT adriancantemircalin abayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT cristinageorgianazeldea abayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT iulialupu abayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT radulupu bayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT adriancantemircalin bayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT cristinageorgianazeldea bayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling
AT iulialupu bayesianentropyapproachtosectoralsystemicriskmodeling