Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector

This study aims to explain the association between the quarterly data obtained over the period 2007: Q2–2020: Q3 for Turkey and the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) proposed within the framework of Basel III with banking performance and risk indicators. For this purpose the association among th...

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Main Author: Yıldırım Furkan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2021-09-01
Series:Economics and Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2021.3.7
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author Yıldırım Furkan
author_facet Yıldırım Furkan
author_sort Yıldırım Furkan
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to explain the association between the quarterly data obtained over the period 2007: Q2–2020: Q3 for Turkey and the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) proposed within the framework of Basel III with banking performance and risk indicators. For this purpose the association among the variables was analyzed using the ARDL model and by performing the Toda Yamamoto (T-Y) causality test. According to the analysis results, it was determined that the CCyB has a statistically significant and positive relationship with the capital adequacy indicators of the banks in the long-run, however, it has a statistically significant and negative relationship with the asset quality risk and currency risk indicators. In the short-run it was determined that the CCyB has a statistically significant and positive relationship with the capital adequacy, profitability and liquidity indicators and similar to the long-term relationship, it has a statistically significant and negative relationship with the asset quality risk and exchange rate risk indicators. According to the causality test results, a statistically significant and unilateral causality running from the indicators of capital adequacy, asset quality and exchange rate risk to the CCyB was detected. The obtained estimation results indicate that the CCyB can be increased by policymakers during the periods when the performance indicators of the banking sector rise, whereas can be decreased by policymakers during the periods when the risk indicators of the sector rise. Furthermore, the results of the study asserted that the CCyB was an appropriate instrument for mitigating the macroeconomic and systemic risks for Turkey.
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spelling doaj.art-f38c81dac3e44c39ae7e03158e0af3a02022-12-21T19:58:52ZengSciendoEconomics and Business Review2450-00972021-09-017310312310.18559/ebr.2021.3.7Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sectorYıldırım Furkan0Department of Banking and Finance, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Akdeniz University, Pınarbaşı Mah. 07070, Antalya, TurkeyThis study aims to explain the association between the quarterly data obtained over the period 2007: Q2–2020: Q3 for Turkey and the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) proposed within the framework of Basel III with banking performance and risk indicators. For this purpose the association among the variables was analyzed using the ARDL model and by performing the Toda Yamamoto (T-Y) causality test. According to the analysis results, it was determined that the CCyB has a statistically significant and positive relationship with the capital adequacy indicators of the banks in the long-run, however, it has a statistically significant and negative relationship with the asset quality risk and currency risk indicators. In the short-run it was determined that the CCyB has a statistically significant and positive relationship with the capital adequacy, profitability and liquidity indicators and similar to the long-term relationship, it has a statistically significant and negative relationship with the asset quality risk and exchange rate risk indicators. According to the causality test results, a statistically significant and unilateral causality running from the indicators of capital adequacy, asset quality and exchange rate risk to the CCyB was detected. The obtained estimation results indicate that the CCyB can be increased by policymakers during the periods when the performance indicators of the banking sector rise, whereas can be decreased by policymakers during the periods when the risk indicators of the sector rise. Furthermore, the results of the study asserted that the CCyB was an appropriate instrument for mitigating the macroeconomic and systemic risks for Turkey.https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2021.3.7countercyclical capital bufferperformance indicatorsrisk indicatorsardl modeltoda yamamoto causality testg21g32g33
spellingShingle Yıldırım Furkan
Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
Economics and Business Review
countercyclical capital buffer
performance indicators
risk indicators
ardl model
toda yamamoto causality test
g21
g32
g33
title Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
title_full Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
title_fullStr Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
title_short Analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
title_sort analysis of the relationship between countercyclical capital buffer and performance and risk indicators of the banking sector
topic countercyclical capital buffer
performance indicators
risk indicators
ardl model
toda yamamoto causality test
g21
g32
g33
url https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2021.3.7
work_keys_str_mv AT yıldırımfurkan analysisoftherelationshipbetweencountercyclicalcapitalbufferandperformanceandriskindicatorsofthebankingsector