Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth

The article considers the impact of the stock market on the economic growth. The aim of the study is to determine the degree of impact of the Russian stock market on gross domestic product, as well as to analyze the significance of various financial instruments in this process. The study suggests th...

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Main Authors: E. A. Fedorova, S. O. Musienko, D. O. Afanas’ev
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Government of the Russian Federation, Financial University 2020-06-01
Series:Финансы: теория и практика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1011
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author E. A. Fedorova
S. O. Musienko
D. O. Afanas’ev
author_facet E. A. Fedorova
S. O. Musienko
D. O. Afanas’ev
author_sort E. A. Fedorova
collection DOAJ
description The article considers the impact of the stock market on the economic growth. The aim of the study is to determine the degree of impact of the Russian stock market on gross domestic product, as well as to analyze the significance of various financial instruments in this process. The study suggests three hypotheses: 1) the dynamics of changes in the stock market as a whole has an impact on GDP growth; 2) the growth of the stock market has a positive impact on the change in GDP; 3) the stock market affects the GDP growth more, than that of corporate bonds. To test these hypotheses, the work employs methods of economic and mathematical modeling and building a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The authors used the data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Moscow Exchange (MOEX) and Finam Investment Holding for the period from January 2000 to July 2019. As a result, they proved that not only traditional macroeconomic and production factors affect the country’s GDP growth, but also the positive dynamics of the stock market. The paper revealed that the impact of the growth of stock indices and corporate bonds on the change in gross domestic product would be different. At the same time, a different degree of impact of the stock market on gross domestic product over time. The authors concluded that ensuring the growth of stock indices is a condition to achieve stable growth in Russia’s GDP. Most of all, the GDP growth depends on the growth of the largest liquid companies trading in the Russian stock market.
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spelling doaj.art-f3906621e0214de1b7c6ffc5d92888232023-03-13T07:49:29ZrusGovernment of the Russian Federation, Financial UniversityФинансы: теория и практика2587-56712587-70892020-06-0124316117310.26794/2587-5671-2020-24-3-161-173781Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic GrowthE. A. Fedorova0S. O. Musienko1D. O. Afanas’ev2Финансовый университетФинансовый университетАО «Гринатом»The article considers the impact of the stock market on the economic growth. The aim of the study is to determine the degree of impact of the Russian stock market on gross domestic product, as well as to analyze the significance of various financial instruments in this process. The study suggests three hypotheses: 1) the dynamics of changes in the stock market as a whole has an impact on GDP growth; 2) the growth of the stock market has a positive impact on the change in GDP; 3) the stock market affects the GDP growth more, than that of corporate bonds. To test these hypotheses, the work employs methods of economic and mathematical modeling and building a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The authors used the data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Moscow Exchange (MOEX) and Finam Investment Holding for the period from January 2000 to July 2019. As a result, they proved that not only traditional macroeconomic and production factors affect the country’s GDP growth, but also the positive dynamics of the stock market. The paper revealed that the impact of the growth of stock indices and corporate bonds on the change in gross domestic product would be different. At the same time, a different degree of impact of the stock market on gross domestic product over time. The authors concluded that ensuring the growth of stock indices is a condition to achieve stable growth in Russia’s GDP. Most of all, the GDP growth depends on the growth of the largest liquid companies trading in the Russian stock market.https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1011фондовый рынокиндекс ртсэкономический ростреальный ввпакцииоблигации
spellingShingle E. A. Fedorova
S. O. Musienko
D. O. Afanas’ev
Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
Финансы: теория и практика
фондовый рынок
индекс ртс
экономический рост
реальный ввп
акции
облигации
title Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
title_full Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
title_fullStr Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
title_full_unstemmed Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
title_short Impact of the Russian Stock Market on Economic Growth
title_sort impact of the russian stock market on economic growth
topic фондовый рынок
индекс ртс
экономический рост
реальный ввп
акции
облигации
url https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1011
work_keys_str_mv AT eafedorova impactoftherussianstockmarketoneconomicgrowth
AT somusienko impactoftherussianstockmarketoneconomicgrowth
AT doafanasev impactoftherussianstockmarketoneconomicgrowth