Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil

The inflation targeting (IT) strategy may create structural changes in macroeconomic variables. This study analyzes the effect of the IT strategy on the price-money supply relationship in Turkey and Brazil by Kejriwal-Perron cointegration analysis with structural breaks. The analysis aims to determ...

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Main Authors: Cuneyt Dumrul, Yasemin Dumrul
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2015-07-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1161
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author Cuneyt Dumrul
Yasemin Dumrul
author_facet Cuneyt Dumrul
Yasemin Dumrul
author_sort Cuneyt Dumrul
collection DOAJ
description The inflation targeting (IT) strategy may create structural changes in macroeconomic variables. This study analyzes the effect of the IT strategy on the price-money supply relationship in Turkey and Brazil by Kejriwal-Perron cointegration analysis with structural breaks. The analysis aims to determine whether the IT strategy leads to regime shifts in the price index-money supply relationship in Turkey and Brazil. The Kejriwal-Perron tests reveal a structural break in the price-money supply relationship as a result of the IT strategy. In both countries, the implementation of this strategy leads to a decrease in the regime coefficients for Turkey while it creates an increase for Brazil. When Turkey and Brazil are compared in terms of money-price relationship after the IT strategy, the study reveals that it has weakened more in Brazil. Keywords: Monetary Inflation; Inflation Targeting; Kejriwal-Perron Cointegration Analysis; Regime Shifts. JEL Classifications: C32; E51; E52; E58
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spelling doaj.art-f39f098f589a4302a99225e71216b0da2023-02-15T16:11:52ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382015-07-0153Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and BrazilCuneyt Dumrul0Yasemin Dumrul1Erciyes UniversityErciyes University The inflation targeting (IT) strategy may create structural changes in macroeconomic variables. This study analyzes the effect of the IT strategy on the price-money supply relationship in Turkey and Brazil by Kejriwal-Perron cointegration analysis with structural breaks. The analysis aims to determine whether the IT strategy leads to regime shifts in the price index-money supply relationship in Turkey and Brazil. The Kejriwal-Perron tests reveal a structural break in the price-money supply relationship as a result of the IT strategy. In both countries, the implementation of this strategy leads to a decrease in the regime coefficients for Turkey while it creates an increase for Brazil. When Turkey and Brazil are compared in terms of money-price relationship after the IT strategy, the study reveals that it has weakened more in Brazil. Keywords: Monetary Inflation; Inflation Targeting; Kejriwal-Perron Cointegration Analysis; Regime Shifts. JEL Classifications: C32; E51; E52; E58 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1161
spellingShingle Cuneyt Dumrul
Yasemin Dumrul
Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
title_full Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
title_fullStr Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
title_short Price-Money Relationship After Inflation Targeting: Cointegration Test With Structural Breaks For Turkey and Brazil
title_sort price money relationship after inflation targeting cointegration test with structural breaks for turkey and brazil
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/1161
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AT yasemindumrul pricemoneyrelationshipafterinflationtargetingcointegrationtestwithstructuralbreaksforturkeyandbrazil