Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources

A healthcare resource allocation generally plays a vital role in the number of patients treated (<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>) and the patient waiting time (<i>w<sub>t</sub></i>) in healthcare institutions. This study aimed to estimate <i>p<sub>nt...

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Main Authors: Abdulkadir Atalan, Hasan Şahin, Yasemin Ayaz Atalan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Healthcare
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/10/10/1920
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author Abdulkadir Atalan
Hasan Şahin
Yasemin Ayaz Atalan
author_facet Abdulkadir Atalan
Hasan Şahin
Yasemin Ayaz Atalan
author_sort Abdulkadir Atalan
collection DOAJ
description A healthcare resource allocation generally plays a vital role in the number of patients treated (<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>) and the patient waiting time (<i>w<sub>t</sub></i>) in healthcare institutions. This study aimed to estimate <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> and <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> as output variables by considering the number of healthcare resources employed and analyze the cost of health resources to the hospital depending on the cost coefficient (<i>δ</i><sub>i</sub>) in an emergency department (ED). The integration of the discrete-event simulation (DES) model and machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), and AdaBoost (AB), was used to calculate the estimation of the output variables depending on the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> of resources cost. The AB algorithm performed best in almost all scenarios based on the results of the analysis. According to the AB algorithm based on the <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub>, and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub>, the accuracy data were calculated as 0.9838, 0.9843, 0.9838, and 0.9846 for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>; 0.9514, 0.9517, 0.9514, and 0.9514 for <i>w<sub>t</sub></i>, respectively in the training stage. The GB algorithm had the best performance value, except for the results of the <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> (AB had a better accuracy at 0.8709 based on the value of <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>) in the test stage. According to the AB algorithm based on the <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub>, and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub>, the accuracy data were calculated as 0.7956, 0.9298, 0.8288, and 0.7394 for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>; 0.8820, 0.8821, 0.8819, and 0.8818 for <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> in the training phase, respectively. All scenarios created by the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> coefficient should be preferred for ED since the income provided by the <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> value to the hospital was more than the cost of healthcare resources. On the contrary, the <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> estimation results of ML algorithms based on the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> coefficient differed. Although <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> values in all ML algorithms with <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub> and <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub> coefficients reduced the cost of the hospital, <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> values based on <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub> increased the cost of the hospital.
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spelling doaj.art-f3a367d39ca74870ba27de256dda73bf2023-11-24T00:19:43ZengMDPI AGHealthcare2227-90322022-09-011010192010.3390/healthcare10101920Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare ResourcesAbdulkadir Atalan0Hasan Şahin1Yasemin Ayaz Atalan2Faculty of Engineering, Gaziantep Islam Science and Technology University, Gaziantep 27260, TurkeyFaculty of Engineering, Bursa Technical University, Bursa 16310, TurkeyFaculty of Engineering, Yozgat Bozok University, Yozgat 66000, TurkeyA healthcare resource allocation generally plays a vital role in the number of patients treated (<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>) and the patient waiting time (<i>w<sub>t</sub></i>) in healthcare institutions. This study aimed to estimate <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> and <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> as output variables by considering the number of healthcare resources employed and analyze the cost of health resources to the hospital depending on the cost coefficient (<i>δ</i><sub>i</sub>) in an emergency department (ED). The integration of the discrete-event simulation (DES) model and machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), and AdaBoost (AB), was used to calculate the estimation of the output variables depending on the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> of resources cost. The AB algorithm performed best in almost all scenarios based on the results of the analysis. According to the AB algorithm based on the <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub>, and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub>, the accuracy data were calculated as 0.9838, 0.9843, 0.9838, and 0.9846 for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>; 0.9514, 0.9517, 0.9514, and 0.9514 for <i>w<sub>t</sub></i>, respectively in the training stage. The GB algorithm had the best performance value, except for the results of the <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> (AB had a better accuracy at 0.8709 based on the value of <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>) in the test stage. According to the AB algorithm based on the <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub>, <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub>, and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub>, the accuracy data were calculated as 0.7956, 0.9298, 0.8288, and 0.7394 for <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i>; 0.8820, 0.8821, 0.8819, and 0.8818 for <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> in the training phase, respectively. All scenarios created by the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> coefficient should be preferred for ED since the income provided by the <i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> value to the hospital was more than the cost of healthcare resources. On the contrary, the <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> estimation results of ML algorithms based on the <i>δ</i><sub>i</sub> coefficient differed. Although <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> values in all ML algorithms with <i>δ</i><sub>0.0</sub> and <i>δ</i><sub>0.1</sub> coefficients reduced the cost of the hospital, <i>w<sub>t</sub></i> values based on <i>δ</i><sub>0.2</sub> and <i>δ</i><sub>0.3</sub> increased the cost of the hospital.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/10/10/1920healthcare resources<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> and <i>w<sub>t</sub></i>discrete-event simulationmachine learningcost analysis
spellingShingle Abdulkadir Atalan
Hasan Şahin
Yasemin Ayaz Atalan
Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
Healthcare
healthcare resources
<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> and <i>w<sub>t</sub></i>
discrete-event simulation
machine learning
cost analysis
title Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
title_full Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
title_fullStr Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
title_full_unstemmed Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
title_short Integration of Machine Learning Algorithms and Discrete-Event Simulation for the Cost of Healthcare Resources
title_sort integration of machine learning algorithms and discrete event simulation for the cost of healthcare resources
topic healthcare resources
<i>p<sub>nt</sub></i> and <i>w<sub>t</sub></i>
discrete-event simulation
machine learning
cost analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/10/10/1920
work_keys_str_mv AT abdulkadiratalan integrationofmachinelearningalgorithmsanddiscreteeventsimulationforthecostofhealthcareresources
AT hasansahin integrationofmachinelearningalgorithmsanddiscreteeventsimulationforthecostofhealthcareresources
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